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000008.SZ$2.61+1.56%
Fair $2.61+0.0%

000008.SZ

China High-Speed Railway Technology Co., Ltd.

Industrials / RailroadsShenzhen

$2.61

+0.04 (+1.56%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $2.61Fund rank 22/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 8/F
F-Score: 4/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 17%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $138.5M · quality 27.7/100

Data gap 22/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 24/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

8/100

F

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is -38.2%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 000008.SZLocal privado en este navegador · China High-Speed Railway Technology Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$7.1B

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

-38.2%

↓

Gross Margin

27.0%

↑

Debt/Equity

1.68

↑
52-Week Range$3
$3$4

TradingView lightweight chart

000008.SZ price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $2.610Periodo -46.3%
Fair value: $2.610

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+6.1%

FCF CAGR

-28.5%

FCF margin

6.5%

FCF / Net income

-0.17x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $2.12B · net income $-835.2M · FCF $138.5M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

27.0%-8.4% pts

Operating margin

-0.4%+10.3% pts

Net margin

-39.4%+8.3% pts

FCF margin

6.5%-14.9% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$2.12B$2.12B$2.08B$2.51B$1.77B
Net Income$-835.2M$-835.2M$-545.3M$-828.3M$-846.3M
EBITDA$-574.7M$-574.7M$-259.6M$-515.9M$-579.6M
EPS-0.31-0.31-0.20-0.31-0.31
Gross Margin27.0%27.0%23.7%21.9%35.4%
Operating Margin-0.4%-0.4%-5.0%-6.5%-10.7%
Net Margin-39.4%-39.4%-26.2%-33.0%-47.7%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity1.681.681.231.060.84
Current Ratio0.840.84———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$138.5M$138.5M$329.9M$-129.8M$379.7M
Returns
ROE-38.2%-38.2%-18.0%-23.3%-19.3%
Valuation
P/B3.243.242.431.751.50
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth1.8%1.8%-17.1%41.7%—
EPS Growth-53.2%-53.2%35.3%0.0%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -8.7%

Total return

-8.7%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.20 → -0.31

Residual

-8.7%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-8.7%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.