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000014.SZ$10.94-2.23%
Fair $10.94+0.0%

000014.SZ

Shahe Industrial Co., Ltd.

Real Estate / Real Estate - DevelopmentShenzhen

$10.94

-0.25 (-2.23%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $10.94Fund rank 28/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 20/D
F-Score: 3/9
Declining RevenueLow Profitability

Book/ROE base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · P/B n/d

Book/ROE base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 100% · confianza 20%

Book/ROE escenarios

weak_data · book/share n/d · quality 45.0/100

Data gap 28/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 26/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

20/100

D

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 2unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific NAV/AFFO model required: REIT/real-estate targets are disabled until FFO/AFFO/NAV/cap-rate data exists. REIT NAV/AFFO valuation requires positive AFFO/share history or TTM AFFO/share; generic FCF remains disabled. Revenue has declined for 2 consecutive years ROE is -10.2%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 000014.SZLocal privado en este navegador · Shahe Industrial Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$2.6B

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

-10.2%

↓

Gross Margin

-1.2%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.00

↓
52-Week Range$11
$10$26

TradingView lightweight chart

000014.SZ price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $11.19Periodo +512.0%
Fair value: $10.94

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-25.9%

FCF CAGR

-39.0%

FCF margin

24.4%

FCF / Net income

-0.50x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $310.1M · net income $-150.4M · FCF $75.7M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

-1.2%-41.9% pts

Operating margin

-18.5%-35.9% pts

Net margin

-48.5%-81.0% pts

FCF margin

24.4%-19.3% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$310.1M$310.1M$357.9M$1.39B$763.6M
Net Income$-150.4M$-150.4M$16.4M$521.8M$248.7M
EBITDA$-127.0M$-127.0M$71.7M$705.2M$347.3M
EPS-0.62-0.620.072.161.03
Gross Margin-1.2%-1.2%51.7%66.6%40.7%
Operating Margin-18.5%-18.5%16.4%49.7%17.3%
Net Margin-48.5%-48.5%4.6%37.6%32.6%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.000.000.010.000.20
Current Ratio3.093.09———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$75.7M$75.7M$-142.6M$467.2M$333.8M
Returns
ROE-10.2%-10.2%1.0%31.4%21.3%
Valuation
P/E——141.715.269.86
EV/EBITDA——27.403.065.87
P/B1.801.801.441.652.10
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-13.3%-13.3%-74.2%81.9%—
EPS Growth-985.7%-985.7%-96.8%109.7%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -7.5%

Total return

-7.5%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

0.07 → -0.62

Residual

-7.5%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-7.5%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.