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000404.SZ$8.25-0.60%
Fair $8.25+0.0%

000404.SZ

Changhong Huayi Compressor Co., Ltd.

Industrials / Specialty Industrial MachineryShenzhen

$8.25

-0.05 (-0.60%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $8.25Fund rank 36/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 58/C
F-Score: 6/9
Declining Revenue

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 24% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $526.8M · quality 80.0/100

Data gap 36/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 77/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

58/100

C

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Revenue has declined for 3 consecutive years
Thesis & Journal · 000404.SZLocal privado en este navegador · Changhong Huayi Compressor Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$5.7B

P/E

11.1x

↓

EV/EBITDA

1.8x

↓

ROE

11.4%

↑

Gross Margin

13.8%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.42

↑
52-Week Range$8
$6$10

TradingView lightweight chart

000404.SZ price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $8.280Periodo +119.4%
Fair value: $8.250

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-3.5%

FCF CAGR

+1.1%

FCF margin

5.6%

FCF / Net income

1.33x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $11.78B · net income $494.8M · FCF $656.5M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

13.8%+3.1% pts

Operating margin

6.3%+2.9% pts

Net margin

4.2%+2.2% pts

FCF margin

5.6%+0.7% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$11.78B$11.78B$11.97B$12.89B$13.10B
Net Income$494.8M$494.8M$450.2M$362.2M$262.8M
EBITDA$1.05B$1.05B$983.9M$857.9M$707.8M
EPS0.710.710.650.520.38
Gross Margin13.8%13.8%12.8%12.4%10.7%
Operating Margin6.3%6.3%6.0%4.7%3.4%
Net Margin4.2%4.2%3.8%2.8%2.0%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.420.420.200.460.45
Current Ratio1.371.37———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$656.5M$656.5M$449.1M$526.8M$636.0M
Returns
ROE11.4%11.4%10.9%9.5%7.3%
Valuation
P/E11.1511.1510.6811.5714.81
EV/EBITDA1.811.815.726.947.76
P/B1.321.321.171.101.08
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-1.6%-1.6%-7.2%-1.6%—
EPS Growth10.4%10.4%24.3%37.8%—
Dividend Yield3.6%3.6%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

0.8%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$0.73

Spread vs growth

9.6%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

4.4%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$0.89

Spread vs growth

6.0%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

7.2%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$1.43

Spread vs growth

3.2%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +18.0%

Total return

+18.0%

Start / end P/E

11.2x → 11.6x

EPS bridge

0.65 → 0.71

Residual

+0.4%

EPS growth+10.4%
Multiple rerating+3.6%
Dividend+3.6%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+0.4%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.