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000417.SZ$7.68-2.17%
Fair $7.68+0.0%

000417.SZ

Hefei Department Store Group Co.,Ltd

Consumer Cyclical / Department StoresShenzhen

$7.68

-0.17 (-2.17%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $7.68Fund rank 30/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 50/C
F-Score: 2/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 22%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $350.2M · quality 51.3/100

Data gap 30/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 33/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

50/100

C

Piotroski

2/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is 3.4%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 000417.SZLocal privado en este navegador · Hefei Department Store Group Co.,Ltd
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$6.0B

P/E

40.4x

↑

EV/EBITDA

7.3x

↓

ROE

3.4%

↓

Gross Margin

24.7%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.34

↓
52-Week Range$8
$5$11

TradingView lightweight chart

000417.SZ price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $7.680Periodo +490.7%
Fair value: $7.680

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+2.0%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-4.9%

FCF / Net income

-2.04x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $6.70B · net income $160.2M · FCF $-326.5M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

24.7%-4.6% pts

Operating margin

2.9%-1.2% pts

Net margin

2.4%-0.3% pts

FCF margin

-4.9%-8.4% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$6.70B$6.70B$7.04B$6.69B$6.30B
Net Income$160.2M$160.2M$190.6M$264.0M$171.0M
EBITDA$838.3M$838.3M$857.3M$903.6M$806.1M
EPS0.210.210.240.340.22
Gross Margin24.7%24.7%26.5%27.7%29.3%
Operating Margin2.9%2.9%4.8%4.2%4.2%
Net Margin2.4%2.4%2.7%3.9%2.7%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.340.340.330.400.52
Current Ratio1.141.14———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-326.5M$-326.5M$519.5M$350.2M$221.0M
Returns
ROE3.4%3.4%4.1%5.7%4.0%
Valuation
P/E40.4240.4221.3214.9521.98
EV/EBITDA7.317.314.753.703.15
P/B1.271.270.860.860.87
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-4.8%-4.8%5.2%6.1%—
EPS Growth-16.0%-16.0%-27.8%54.4%—
Dividend Yield1.4%1.4%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

49.1%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.68

Spread vs growth

-65.1%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

32.0%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.82

Spread vs growth

-48.0%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

20.5%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.33

Spread vs growth

-36.5%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +32.2%

Total return

+32.2%

Start / end P/E

24.0x → 37.4x

EPS bridge

0.24 → 0.21

Residual

-8.9%

EPS growth-16.0%
Multiple rerating+55.7%
Dividend+1.4%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-8.9%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.