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000421.SZ$6.03+4.51%
Fair $6.03+0.0%

000421.SZ

Nanjing Public Utilities Development Co., Ltd.

Industrials / RailroadsShenzhen

$6.03

+0.26 (+4.51%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $6.03Fund rank 22/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 34/D
F-Score: 8/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 16%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $810.6M · quality 33.7/100

Data gap 22/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 10/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

34/100

D

Piotroski

8/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is 1.8%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 000421.SZLocal privado en este navegador · Nanjing Public Utilities Development Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$3.5B

P/E

40.2x

↑

EV/EBITDA

9.2x

↓

ROE

1.8%

↓

Gross Margin

15.0%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.85

↑
52-Week Range$6
$6$8

TradingView lightweight chart

000421.SZ price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $6.030Periodo +5.9%
Fair value: $6.030

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-0.6%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

11.6%

FCF / Net income

16.86x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $6.98B · net income $48.1M · FCF $810.6M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

15.0%+2.7% pts

Operating margin

5.0%+0.9% pts

Net margin

0.7%-0.2% pts

FCF margin

11.6%+25.9% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$6.98B$6.98B$6.57B$4.63B$7.11B
Net Income$48.1M$48.1M$45.9M$-90.3M$60.5M
EBITDA$549.7M$549.7M$558.8M$291.4M$537.2M
EPS0.080.080.08-0.160.10
Gross Margin15.0%15.0%13.6%14.7%12.3%
Operating Margin5.0%5.0%4.0%2.0%4.1%
Net Margin0.7%0.7%0.7%-1.9%0.9%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.850.851.411.291.96
Current Ratio0.670.67———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$810.6M$810.6M$129.2M$2.71B$-1.02B
Returns
ROE1.8%1.8%1.7%-3.3%2.1%
Valuation
P/E40.2040.2081.51—47.47
EV/EBITDA9.249.2410.6918.9513.06
P/B1.271.271.381.391.00
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth6.3%6.3%41.8%-34.9%—
EPS Growth5.2%5.2%150.9%-249.1%—
Dividend Yield1.0%1.0%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

85.7%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.54

Spread vs growth

-80.5%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

50.6%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.65

Spread vs growth

-45.4%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

28.7%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.04

Spread vs growth

-23.5%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -3.2%

Total return

-3.2%

Start / end P/E

79.1x → 72.1x

EPS bridge

0.08 → 0.08

Residual

-0.5%

EPS growth+5.2%
Multiple rerating-8.8%
Dividend+1.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-0.5%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.