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000430.SZ$8.16+2.26%
Fair $8.16+0.0%

000430.SZ

Zhang Jia Jie Tourism Group Co., Ltd

Consumer Cyclical / LodgingShenzhen

$8.16

+0.18 (+2.26%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $8.16Fund rank 23/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 29/D
F-Score: 6/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 16%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $41.4M · quality 35.7/100

Data gap 23/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 14/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

29/100

D

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is -41.7%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 000430.SZLocal privado en este navegador · Zhang Jia Jie Tourism Group Co., Ltd
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$6.6B

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

-41.7%

↓

Gross Margin

17.3%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.76

↑
52-Week Range$8
$7$10

TradingView lightweight chart

000430.SZ price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $7.980Periodo +61.1%
Fair value: $8.160

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+51.3%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-20.6%

FCF / Net income

0.17x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $458.6M · net income $-549.4M · FCF $-94.4M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

17.3%+117.8% pts

Operating margin

-3.6%+157.8% pts

Net margin

-119.8%+76.3% pts

FCF margin

-20.6%+76.7% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$458.6M$458.6M$431.6M$420.0M$132.5M
Net Income$-549.4M$-549.4M$-582.1M$-239.3M$-259.8M
EBITDA$-410.1M$-410.1M$-399.1M$4.6M$-82.3M
EPS-0.68-0.68-0.72-0.59-0.64
Gross Margin17.3%17.3%14.6%10.8%-100.4%
Operating Margin-3.6%-3.6%-9.7%-13.1%-161.5%
Net Margin-119.8%-119.8%-134.9%-57.0%-196.1%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.760.764.371.501.10
Current Ratio6.116.11———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-94.4M$-94.4M$52.5M$41.4M$-128.8M
Returns
ROE-41.7%-41.7%-201.0%-27.6%-23.4%
Valuation
EV/EBITDA———855.62—
P/B5.005.0018.703.172.98
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth6.3%6.3%2.8%217.0%—
EPS Growth5.6%5.6%-22.0%7.8%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +7.2%

Total return

+7.2%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.72 → -0.68

Residual

+7.2%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+7.2%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.