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000558.SZ$3.73-2.61%
Fair $3.73+0.0%

000558.SZ

Chengdu New Tianfu Culture Tourism Development Co., Ltd.

Real Estate / Real Estate - DevelopmentShenzhen

$3.73

-0.10 (-2.61%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $3.73Fund rank 27/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 19/F
F-Score: 3/9
Low Profitability

Book/ROE base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · P/B n/d

Book/ROE base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 100% · confianza 20%

Book/ROE escenarios

weak_data · book/share n/d · quality 0.0/100

Data gap 27/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 20/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

19/100

F

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific NAV/AFFO model required: REIT/real-estate targets are disabled until FFO/AFFO/NAV/cap-rate data exists. REIT NAV/AFFO valuation requires positive AFFO/share history or TTM AFFO/share; generic FCF remains disabled. ROE is -2.0%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 000558.SZLocal privado en este navegador · Chengdu New Tianfu Culture Tourism Development Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$4.8B

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

63.8x

↑

ROE

-2.0%

↓

Gross Margin

18.1%

↓

Debt/Equity

1.07

↑
52-Week Range$4
$4$8

TradingView lightweight chart

000558.SZ price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $3.730Periodo +144.6%
Fair value: $3.730

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+25.8%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-57.4%

FCF / Net income

14.80x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $535.5M · net income $-20.8M · FCF $-307.4M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

18.1%-20.2% pts

Operating margin

3.2%-0.9% pts

Net margin

-3.9%+2.4% pts

FCF margin

-57.4%-110.5% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$535.5M$535.5M$412.9M$255.2M$269.1M
Net Income$-20.8M$-20.8M$-24.5M$56.2M$-16.9M
EBITDA$88.2M$88.2M$69.3M$165.7M$115.1M
EPS-0.02-0.02-0.020.04-0.01
Gross Margin18.1%18.1%18.7%36.2%38.3%
Operating Margin3.2%3.2%1.6%-0.2%4.1%
Net Margin-3.9%-3.9%-5.9%22.0%-6.3%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity1.071.070.730.410.38
Current Ratio1.861.86———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-307.4M$-307.4M$-227.0M$3.2M$143.0M
Returns
ROE-2.0%-2.0%-2.3%5.2%-1.1%
Valuation
P/E———72.94—
EV/EBITDA63.8463.8464.8826.2533.54
P/B4.604.603.763.782.45
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth29.7%29.7%61.8%-5.2%—
EPS Growth15.3%15.3%-143.6%432.8%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -9.5%

Total return

-9.5%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.02 → -0.02

Residual

-9.5%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-9.5%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.