StockAnalyzer

Financial Analysis

DashboardSectorsComparablesScreenerUniverseMicrocapsAI 2nd OrderTheme MapEnergy & MaterialsMacroWatchlistCompareMi CarteraPortfolio

Recent

v0.1
000619.SZ$5.61-2.77%
Fair $5.61+0.0%

000619.SZ

Conch (Anhui) Energy Saving and Environment Protection New Material Co., Ltd.

Industrials / Building Products & EquipmentShenzhen

$5.61

-0.16 (-2.77%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $5.61Fund rank 24/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 20/D
F-Score: 6/9
Declining RevenueLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 17%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $59.5M · quality 39.7/100

Data gap 24/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 11/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

20/100

D

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 2unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Revenue has declined for 2 consecutive years ROE is -3.4%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 000619.SZLocal privado en este navegador · Conch (Anhui) Energy Saving and Environment Protection New Material Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$2.5B

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

29.5x

↑

ROE

-3.4%

↓

Gross Margin

8.0%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.54

↑
52-Week Range$6
$5$9

TradingView lightweight chart

000619.SZ price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $5.610Periodo +67.2%
Fair value: $5.610

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-6.1%

FCF CAGR

+96.5%

FCF margin

4.4%

FCF / Net income

-2.32x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $4.54B · net income $-85.6M · FCF $198.4M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

8.0%+1.2% pts

Operating margin

-2.2%-1.3% pts

Net margin

-1.9%-0.2% pts

FCF margin

4.4%+3.9% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$4.54B$4.54B$5.28B$5.80B$5.49B
Net Income$-85.6M$-85.6M$-105.9M$-18.6M$-92.2M
EBITDA$106.4M$106.4M$94.7M$220.7M$133.6M
EPS-0.19-0.19-0.24-0.05-0.26
Gross Margin8.0%8.0%8.0%8.9%6.8%
Operating Margin-2.2%-2.2%-0.9%1.0%-0.9%
Net Margin-1.9%-1.9%-2.0%-0.3%-1.7%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.540.540.550.820.79
Current Ratio1.471.47———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$198.4M$198.4M$59.5M$-71.3M$26.2M
Returns
ROE-3.4%-3.4%-4.1%-0.8%-4.2%
Valuation
EV/EBITDA29.5129.5136.7016.6025.42
P/B0.990.991.071.121.07
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-13.9%-13.9%-9.0%5.6%—
EPS Growth20.4%20.4%-372.3%79.9%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -7.6%

Total return

-7.6%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.24 → -0.19

Residual

-7.6%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-7.6%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.