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000678.SZ$11.65+1.84%
Fair $11.65+0.0%

000678.SZ

Xiangyang Automobile Bearing Co., Ltd.

Consumer Cyclical / Auto PartsShenzhen

$11.65

+0.21 (+1.84%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $11.65Fund rank 23/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 17/F
F-Score: 3/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 18%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $19.7M · quality 33.7/100

Data gap 23/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 18/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

17/100

F

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is -6.2%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 000678.SZLocal privado en este navegador · Xiangyang Automobile Bearing Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$5.4B

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

90.3x

↑

ROE

-6.2%

↓

Gross Margin

13.6%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.79

↑
52-Week Range$12
$11$19

TradingView lightweight chart

000678.SZ price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $11.65Periodo +166.1%
Fair value: $11.65

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+10.8%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-4.6%

FCF / Net income

1.45x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $1.54B · net income $-49.1M · FCF $-71.1M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

13.6%+7.6% pts

Operating margin

-0.6%+8.2% pts

Net margin

-3.2%+7.9% pts

FCF margin

-4.6%-7.2% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$1.54B$1.54B$1.46B$1.39B$1.13B
Net Income$-49.1M$-49.1M$-35.4M$-53.7M$-125.2M
EBITDA$62.9M$62.9M$92.2M$83.6M$10.5M
EPS-0.11-0.11-0.08-0.12-0.27
Gross Margin13.6%13.6%10.9%10.5%6.0%
Operating Margin-0.6%-0.6%-1.7%-1.8%-8.7%
Net Margin-3.2%-3.2%-2.4%-3.9%-11.1%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.790.790.580.590.67
Current Ratio0.760.76———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-71.1M$-71.1M$81.0M$19.7M$29.7M
Returns
ROE-6.2%-6.2%-4.4%-6.4%-14.4%
Valuation
EV/EBITDA90.2990.2930.7340.71300.09
P/B6.616.613.203.683.18
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth5.8%5.8%4.4%23.3%—
EPS Growth-37.5%-37.5%33.3%55.6%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -32.0%

Total return

-32.0%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.08 → -0.11

Residual

-32.0%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-32.0%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.