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000713.SZ$5.92-1.66%
Fair $5.92+0.0%

000713.SZ

SDIC Fengle Seed Co., Ltd.

Consumer Defensive / Farm ProductsShenzhen

$5.92

-0.10 (-1.66%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $5.92Fund rank 31/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 34/D
F-Score: 5/9
Declining RevenueLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 20%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-1.6M · quality 55.3/100

Data gap 31/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 28/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

34/100

D

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 2unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Revenue has declined for 2 consecutive years ROE is 2.1%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 000713.SZLocal privado en este navegador · SDIC Fengle Seed Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$4.7B

P/E

59.2x

↑

EV/EBITDA

13.2x

↑

ROE

2.1%

↓

Gross Margin

16.5%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.10

↓
52-Week Range$6
$6$8

TradingView lightweight chart

000713.SZ price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $6.020Periodo +138.8%
Fair value: $5.920

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-1.1%

FCF CAGR

-12.9%

FCF margin

6.5%

FCF / Net income

2.85x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $2.90B · net income $66.0M · FCF $188.5M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

16.5%+3.8% pts

Operating margin

4.1%+1.7% pts

Net margin

2.3%+0.3% pts

FCF margin

6.5%-3.0% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$2.90B$2.90B$2.93B$3.11B$3.01B
Net Income$66.0M$66.0M$69.8M$40.2M$58.8M
EBITDA$171.2M$171.2M$164.3M$131.3M$150.7M
EPS0.110.110.110.070.10
Gross Margin16.5%16.5%15.7%12.7%12.7%
Operating Margin4.1%4.1%3.8%2.2%2.4%
Net Margin2.3%2.3%2.4%1.3%2.0%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.100.100.120.080.08
Current Ratio2.492.49———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$188.5M$188.5M$-170.1M$-1.6M$284.9M
Returns
ROE2.1%2.1%3.5%2.1%3.1%
Valuation
P/E59.2059.2057.96116.0392.80
EV/EBITDA13.2413.2424.2735.6236.09
P/B1.161.162.012.392.84
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-0.8%-0.8%-6.0%3.6%—
EPS Growth-5.5%-5.5%73.6%-31.6%—
Dividend Yield0.3%0.3%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

69.7%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.53

Spread vs growth

-75.1%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

42.7%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.64

Spread vs growth

-48.1%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

25.3%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.02

Spread vs growth

-30.7%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -16.9%

Total return

-16.9%

Start / end P/E

62.9x → 55.1x

EPS bridge

0.11 → 0.11

Residual

+0.7%

EPS growth-5.5%
Multiple rerating-12.4%
Dividend+0.3%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+0.7%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.