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000779.SZ$7.45-2.99%
Fair $7.45+0.0%

000779.SZ

Gansu Engineering Consulting Group Co., Ltd.

Industrials / Engineering & ConstructionShenzhen

$7.45

-0.23 (-2.99%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $7.45Fund rank 27/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 44/C
F-Score: 5/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 18%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $59.2M · quality 46.7/100

Data gap 27/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 17/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

44/100

C

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is 3.8%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 000779.SZLocal privado en este navegador · Gansu Engineering Consulting Group Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$3.5B

P/E

22.6x

↑

EV/EBITDA

5.9x

↓

ROE

3.8%

↓

Gross Margin

35.9%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.01

↓
52-Week Range$7
$7$11

TradingView lightweight chart

000779.SZ price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $7.680Periodo +103.8%
Fair value: $7.450

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-6.5%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

7.3%

FCF / Net income

1.01x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $2.06B · net income $149.0M · FCF $150.8M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

35.9%+9.9% pts

Operating margin

15.5%+4.3% pts

Net margin

7.2%-1.7% pts

FCF margin

7.3%+7.5% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$2.06B$2.06B$1.98B$2.39B$2.52B
Net Income$149.0M$149.0M$216.9M$254.4M$226.4M
EBITDA$263.0M$263.0M$338.9M$366.6M$348.4M
EPS0.320.320.470.660.60
Gross Margin35.9%35.9%40.2%33.0%26.0%
Operating Margin15.5%15.5%17.7%15.0%11.3%
Net Margin7.2%7.2%11.0%10.6%9.0%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.010.010.020.020.04
Current Ratio3.113.11———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$150.8M$150.8M$59.2M$7.6M$-4.3M
Returns
ROE3.8%3.8%5.7%7.0%8.6%
Valuation
P/E22.5822.5815.7716.0318.59
EV/EBITDA5.875.874.746.139.06
P/B0.880.880.901.121.60
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth4.2%4.2%-17.2%-5.2%—
EPS Growth-31.3%-31.3%-29.3%10.2%—
Dividend Yield1.0%1.0%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

27.3%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.66

Spread vs growth

-58.6%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

20.1%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.80

Spread vs growth

-51.4%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

14.9%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$1.29

Spread vs growth

-46.3%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -22.4%

Total return

-22.4%

Start / end P/E

20.8x → 23.2x

EPS bridge

0.47 → 0.32

Residual

-3.6%

EPS growth-31.3%
Multiple rerating+11.5%
Dividend+1.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-3.6%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.