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000888.SZ$10.61-2.54%
Fair $10.61+0.0%

000888.SZ

Emei Shan Tourism Co.,Ltd

Consumer Cyclical / Travel ServicesShenzhen

$10.61

-0.27 (-2.54%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $10.61Fund rank 32/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 47/C
F-Score: 4/9
Declining Revenue

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 23%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $286.8M · quality 54.7/100

Data gap 32/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 38/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

47/100

C

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Revenue has declined for 2 consecutive years
Thesis & Journal · 000888.SZLocal privado en este navegador · Emei Shan Tourism Co.,Ltd
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$5.6B

P/E

24.6x

↑

EV/EBITDA

12.8x

↑

ROE

8.3%

↑

Gross Margin

49.9%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.08

↓
52-Week Range$11
$10$16

TradingView lightweight chart

000888.SZ price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $10.61Periodo +315.0%
Fair value: $10.61

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+29.4%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

30.7%

FCF / Net income

1.30x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $933.5M · net income $220.0M · FCF $286.8M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

49.9%+45.9% pts

Operating margin

28.4%+68.1% pts

Net margin

23.6%+57.4% pts

FCF margin

30.7%+61.1% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$933.5M$933.5M$1.01B$1.04B$431.1M
Net Income$220.0M$220.0M$234.6M$227.6M$-145.7M
EBITDA$311.3M$311.3M$372.5M$308.5M$-18.6M
EPS0.420.420.450.43-0.28
Gross Margin49.9%49.9%50.5%49.7%3.9%
Operating Margin28.4%28.4%31.2%30.1%-39.7%
Net Margin23.6%23.6%23.2%21.8%-33.8%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.080.080.200.210.21
Current Ratio3.033.03———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$286.8M$286.8M$246.2M$390.6M$-130.9M
Returns
ROE8.3%8.3%9.0%9.1%-6.4%
Valuation
P/E24.6224.6227.5321.67—
EV/EBITDA12.8212.8214.6613.20—
P/B2.042.042.471.982.05
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-7.9%-7.9%-3.0%142.3%—
EPS Growth-6.2%-6.2%3.1%256.2%—
Dividend Yield3.1%3.1%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

31.1%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.94

Spread vs growth

-37.3%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

22.2%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.14

Spread vs growth

-28.4%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

16.0%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.83

Spread vs growth

-22.2%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -20.6%

Total return

-20.6%

Start / end P/E

30.4x → 24.8x

EPS bridge

0.45 → 0.42

Residual

+1.2%

EPS growth-6.2%
Multiple rerating-18.6%
Dividend+3.1%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+1.2%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.