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000955.SZ$4.23-4.94%
Fair $4.23+0.0%

000955.SZ

Xinglong Holding (Group) Company Ltd.

Consumer Cyclical / Textile ManufacturingShenzhen

$4.23

-0.22 (-4.94%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $4.23Fund rank 28/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 26/D
F-Score: 6/9
Declining RevenueLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 32% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $6.4M · quality 57.7/100

Data gap 28/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 34/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

26/100

D

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 2unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific holding-company NAV/SOTP model required: targets are disabled until look-through holdings, debt and discount data exists. Revenue has declined for 3 consecutive years ROE is 0.1%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 000955.SZLocal privado en este navegador · Xinglong Holding (Group) Company Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$2.3B

P/E

3253.8x

↑

EV/EBITDA

75.3x

↑

ROE

0.1%

↓

Gross Margin

9.0%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.19

↓
52-Week Range$4
$4$9

TradingView lightweight chart

000955.SZ price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $4.230Periodo -32.7%
Fair value: $4.230

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-15.4%

FCF CAGR

-50.9%

FCF margin

1.2%

FCF / Net income

8.14x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $506.3M · net income $718092.8 · FCF $5.8M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

9.0%+1.6% pts

Operating margin

0.7%+3.0% pts

Net margin

0.1%+14.5% pts

FCF margin

1.2%-4.8% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$506.3M$506.3M$523.0M$591.1M$837.5M
Net Income$718092.75$718092.75$-16.6M$-28.4M$-120.4M
EBITDA$29.1M$29.1M$11.6M$-879945.07$-79.3M
EPS0.000.00-0.03-0.05-0.22
Gross Margin9.0%9.0%8.8%7.5%7.4%
Operating Margin0.7%0.7%-2.3%-3.9%-2.3%
Net Margin0.1%0.1%-3.2%-4.8%-14.4%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.190.190.110.180.29
Current Ratio4.214.21———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$5.8M$5.8M$6.4M$26.8M$49.5M
Returns
ROE0.1%0.1%-2.6%-4.3%-17.4%
Valuation
P/E3253.853253.85———
EV/EBITDA75.3375.33163.52——
P/B3.603.603.163.954.25
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-3.2%-3.2%-11.5%-29.4%—
EPS Growth104.2%104.2%41.5%76.4%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

560.9%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.38

Spread vs growth

-456.7%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

222.6%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.45

Spread vs growth

-118.4%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

88.4%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.73

Spread vs growth

15.8%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -10.6%

Total return

-10.6%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.03 → 0.00

Residual

-10.6%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-10.6%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.