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001215.SZ$39.82+1.30%
Fair $39.82+0.0%

001215.SZ

Zhengzhou Qianweiyangchu Food Co., Ltd.

Consumer Defensive / Packaged FoodsShenzhen

$39.82

+0.51 (+1.30%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $39.82Fund rank 25/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 45/C
F-Score: 3/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 18%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-46.4M · quality 44.0/100

Data gap 25/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 12/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

45/100

C

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is 3.5%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 001215.SZLocal privado en este navegador · Zhengzhou Qianweiyangchu Food Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$3.9B

P/E

58.6x

↑

EV/EBITDA

19.0x

↑

ROE

3.5%

↓

Gross Margin

22.7%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.07

↓
52-Week Range$40
$27$50

TradingView lightweight chart

001215.SZ price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $39.82Periodo +76.0%
Fair value: $39.82

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+8.5%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-0.9%

FCF / Net income

-0.28x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $1.90B · net income $63.6M · FCF $-18.0M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

22.7%-0.7% pts

Operating margin

5.2%-3.2% pts

Net margin

3.3%-3.5% pts

FCF margin

-0.9%-0.3% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$1.90B$1.90B$1.87B$1.90B$1.49B
Net Income$63.6M$63.6M$83.7M$134.3M$102.2M
EBITDA$185.2M$185.2M$198.7M$245.4M$189.6M
EPS0.660.660.871.561.18
Gross Margin22.7%22.7%23.7%23.7%23.4%
Operating Margin5.2%5.2%6.5%8.8%8.4%
Net Margin3.3%3.3%4.5%7.1%6.9%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.070.070.050.160.17
Current Ratio1.831.83———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-18.0M$-18.0M$-196.8M$-46.4M$-10.2M
Returns
ROE3.5%3.5%4.6%11.1%9.6%
Valuation
P/E58.5658.5632.3730.7156.64
EV/EBITDA18.9618.9611.6516.4529.46
P/B2.092.091.493.395.46
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth1.6%1.6%-1.7%27.7%—
EPS Growth-24.1%-24.1%-44.2%32.2%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

74.9%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$3.53

Spread vs growth

-99.1%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

45.3%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$4.28

Spread vs growth

-69.4%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

26.4%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$6.89

Spread vs growth

-50.6%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +45.4%

Total return

+45.4%

Start / end P/E

31.5x → 60.3x

EPS bridge

0.87 → 0.66

Residual

-22.1%

EPS growth-24.1%
Multiple rerating+91.7%
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-22.1%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.