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001216.SZ$16.85+4.53%
Fair $16.85+0.0%

001216.SZ

Hunan Hualian China Industry Co., Ltd.

Consumer Cyclical / Furnishings, Fixtures & AppliancesShenzhen

$16.85

+0.73 (+4.53%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $16.85Fund rank 35/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 51/C
F-Score: 8/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 24% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $90.9M · quality 74.7/100

Data gap 35/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 71/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

51/100

C

Piotroski

8/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 001216.SZLocal privado en este navegador · Hunan Hualian China Industry Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$4.9B

P/E

19.8x

↑

EV/EBITDA

11.5x

↑

ROE

12.0%

↑

Gross Margin

33.5%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.00

↓
52-Week Range$17
$12$25

TradingView lightweight chart

001216.SZ price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $16.85Periodo +24.9%
Fair value: $16.85

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+2.2%

FCF CAGR

-16.5%

FCF margin

6.2%

FCF / Net income

0.41x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $1.47B · net income $220.5M · FCF $90.9M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

33.5%+1.0% pts

Operating margin

17.1%+3.3% pts

Net margin

15.0%+2.6% pts

FCF margin

6.2%-5.1% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$1.47B$1.47B$1.34B$1.23B$1.38B
Net Income$220.5M$220.5M$205.0M$179.5M$170.9M
EBITDA$308.6M$308.6M$292.9M$256.3M$241.9M
EPS0.880.880.810.710.68
Gross Margin33.5%33.5%33.2%32.4%32.4%
Operating Margin17.1%17.1%16.8%14.6%13.7%
Net Margin15.0%15.0%15.3%14.6%12.4%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.000.000.010.010.01
Current Ratio3.573.57———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$90.9M$90.9M$85.1M$145.5M$155.9M
Returns
ROE12.0%12.0%11.9%11.3%11.7%
Valuation
P/E19.8219.8214.8518.5821.71
EV/EBITDA11.5111.518.9511.0713.27
P/B2.302.301.762.102.54
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth9.8%9.8%8.8%-10.8%—
EPS Growth8.6%8.6%14.1%4.4%—
Dividend Yield2.4%2.4%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

19.3%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.50

Spread vs growth

-10.7%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

15.5%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.81

Spread vs growth

-6.9%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

12.7%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$2.91

Spread vs growth

-4.1%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +25.5%

Total return

+25.5%

Start / end P/E

16.9x → 19.1x

EPS bridge

0.81 → 0.88

Residual

+1.1%

EPS growth+8.6%
Multiple rerating+13.3%
Dividend+2.4%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+1.1%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.