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001225.SZ$48.50+7.95%
Fair $48.50+0.0%

001225.SZ

Hangzhou Hota M&E Holdings Co., Ltd.

Industrials / Specialty Industrial MachineryShenzhen

$48.50

+3.67 (+7.95%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $48.50Fund rank 32/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 45/C
F-Score: 4/9
Declining RevenueMargin CompressionLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 31% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $29.2M · quality 65.3/100

Data gap 32/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 49/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

45/100

C

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 3unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific holding-company NAV/SOTP model required: targets are disabled until look-through holdings, debt and discount data exists. Revenue has declined for 3 consecutive years Operating margin has declined for 3 consecutive years ROE is 2.5%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 001225.SZLocal privado en este navegador · Hangzhou Hota M&E Holdings Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$3.2B

P/E

103.2x

↑

EV/EBITDA

43.2x

↑

ROE

2.5%

↓

Gross Margin

34.4%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.00

↓
52-Week Range$49
$31$89

TradingView lightweight chart

001225.SZ price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $49.81Periodo -26.1%
Fair value: $48.50

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-21.7%

FCF CAGR

-53.2%

FCF margin

4.7%

FCF / Net income

0.33x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $238.8M · net income $34.1M · FCF $11.2M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

34.4%-7.0% pts

Operating margin

10.1%-20.0% pts

Net margin

14.3%-30.2% pts

FCF margin

4.7%-17.4% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$238.8M$238.8M$250.8M$385.6M$496.6M
Net Income$34.1M$34.1M$57.5M$113.9M$221.0M
EBITDA$62.6M$62.6M$83.0M$143.1M$160.0M
EPS——0.891.844.56
Gross Margin34.4%34.4%37.2%39.1%41.4%
Operating Margin10.1%10.1%15.2%23.8%30.0%
Net Margin14.3%14.3%22.9%29.5%44.5%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.000.000.000.000.00
Current Ratio6.186.18———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$11.2M$11.2M$51.7M$29.2M$109.6M
Returns
ROE2.5%2.5%4.0%7.9%30.4%
Valuation
P/E103.19103.1936.9122.12—
EV/EBITDA43.2443.2418.769.71—
P/B2.312.311.491.74—
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-4.8%-4.8%-35.0%-22.4%—
EPS Growth——-51.6%-59.6%—
Dividend Yield2.3%2.3%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +46.9%

Total return

+46.9%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

0.89 → n/d

Residual

+44.6%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+2.3%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+44.6%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.