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001228.SZ$29.83-0.96%
Fair $29.83+0.0%

001228.SZ

Yongtaiyun Chemical Logistics Co.,Ltd

Industrials / Integrated Freight & LogisticsShenzhen

$29.83

-0.29 (-0.96%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $29.83Fund rank 20/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 43/C
F-Score: 3/9
Margin Compression

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 14%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-542.5M · quality 25.7/100

Data gap 20/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 6/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

43/100

C

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Operating margin has declined for 3 consecutive years
Thesis & Journal · 001228.SZLocal privado en este navegador · Yongtaiyun Chemical Logistics Co.,Ltd
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$3.1B

P/E

29.8x

↑

EV/EBITDA

15.3x

↑

ROE

6.3%

↑

Gross Margin

7.6%

↓

Debt/Equity

1.61

↑
52-Week Range$30
$22$35

TradingView lightweight chart

001228.SZ price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $30.12Periodo -31.3%
Fair value: $29.83

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+24.3%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-24.2%

FCF / Net income

-13.12x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $5.79B · net income $106.9M · FCF $-1.40B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

7.6%-9.4% pts

Operating margin

4.5%-8.3% pts

Net margin

1.8%-7.9% pts

FCF margin

-24.2%-31.1% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$5.79B$5.79B$3.90B$2.20B$3.01B
Net Income$106.9M$106.9M$87.8M$150.0M$293.9M
EBITDA$305.7M$305.7M$227.9M$296.8M$459.7M
EPS1.031.030.861.443.09
Gross Margin7.6%7.6%10.5%15.2%17.0%
Operating Margin4.5%4.5%6.3%9.3%12.8%
Net Margin1.8%1.8%2.3%6.8%9.8%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity1.611.610.610.270.07
Current Ratio1.141.14———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-1.40B$-1.40B$-542.5M$145.8M$205.8M
Returns
ROE6.3%6.3%5.2%8.6%18.0%
Valuation
P/E29.8329.8322.8321.5416.30
EV/EBITDA15.2615.269.848.749.14
P/B1.831.831.181.842.93
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth48.4%48.4%77.3%-27.0%—
EPS Growth19.8%19.8%-40.3%-53.4%—
Dividend Yield4.0%4.0%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

37.0%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$2.65

Spread vs growth

-17.2%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

25.5%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$3.20

Spread vs growth

-5.7%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

17.5%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$5.16

Spread vs growth

2.3%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +31.1%

Total return

+31.1%

Start / end P/E

27.3x → 29.0x

EPS bridge

0.86 → 1.03

Residual

+1.2%

EPS growth+19.8%
Multiple rerating+6.1%
Dividend+4.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+1.2%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.