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001260.SZ$19.04-2.76%
Fair $19.04+0.0%

001260.SZ

Shandong Kuntai New Material Technology Co., Ltd.

Consumer Cyclical / Auto PartsShenzhen

$19.04

-0.54 (-2.76%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $19.04Fund rank 25/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 43/C
F-Score: 5/9
Margin CompressionLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 18%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-69.7M · quality 43.7/100

Data gap 25/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 10/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

43/100

C

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 2unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Operating margin has declined for 3 consecutive years ROE is 4.9%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 001260.SZLocal privado en este navegador · Shandong Kuntai New Material Technology Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$2.2B

P/E

59.5x

↑

EV/EBITDA

21.2x

↑

ROE

4.9%

↓

Gross Margin

27.2%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.05

↓
52-Week Range$19
$17$26

TradingView lightweight chart

001260.SZ price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $19.04Periodo -7.3%
Fair value: $19.04

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+8.6%

FCF CAGR

+2.9%

FCF margin

7.1%

FCF / Net income

0.99x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $575.7M · net income $41.2M · FCF $41.0M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

27.2%-2.4% pts

Operating margin

8.9%-9.7% pts

Net margin

7.2%-7.2% pts

FCF margin

7.1%-1.2% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$575.7M$575.7M$599.4M$490.5M$449.5M
Net Income$41.2M$41.2M$48.3M$47.9M$64.3M
EBITDA$98.1M$98.1M$100.9M$91.2M$106.8M
EPS0.360.360.420.430.75
Gross Margin27.2%27.2%26.6%28.7%29.6%
Operating Margin8.9%8.9%10.2%12.2%18.6%
Net Margin7.2%7.2%8.1%9.8%14.3%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.050.050.060.090.17
Current Ratio2.892.89———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$41.0M$41.0M$-79.3M$-69.7M$37.6M
Returns
ROE4.9%4.9%6.1%6.2%15.0%
Valuation
P/E59.5059.5036.6450.67—
EV/EBITDA21.1821.1816.6025.30—
P/B2.622.622.233.15—
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-3.9%-3.9%22.2%9.1%—
EPS Growth-14.3%-14.3%-2.3%-42.7%—
Dividend Yield1.1%1.1%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

67.4%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.69

Spread vs growth

-81.7%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

41.5%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$2.04

Spread vs growth

-55.8%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

24.8%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$3.29

Spread vs growth

-39.1%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +4.7%

Total return

+4.7%

Start / end P/E

43.8x → 52.9x

EPS bridge

0.42 → 0.36

Residual

-3.0%

EPS growth-14.3%
Multiple rerating+20.9%
Dividend+1.1%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-3.0%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.