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001322.SZ$6.54-2.53%
Fair $6.54+0.0%

001322.SZ

Arrow Home Group Co., Ltd.

Industrials / Building Products & EquipmentShenzhen

$6.54

-0.17 (-2.53%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $6.54Fund rank 24/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 25/D
F-Score: 5/9
Declining RevenueMargin CompressionLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 17%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $7.6M · quality 39.7/100

Data gap 24/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 8/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

25/100

D

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 3unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Revenue has declined for 2 consecutive years Operating margin has declined for 3 consecutive years ROE is 1.0%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 001322.SZLocal privado en este navegador · Arrow Home Group Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$6.3B

P/E

109.0x

↑

EV/EBITDA

11.5x

↑

ROE

1.0%

↓

Gross Margin

26.0%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.30

↓
52-Week Range$7
$7$10

TradingView lightweight chart

001322.SZ price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $6.540Periodo -61.6%
Fair value: $6.540

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-4.8%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-4.0%

FCF / Net income

-5.70x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $6.47B · net income $45.8M · FCF $-261.0M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

26.0%-6.8% pts

Operating margin

1.9%-7.8% pts

Net margin

0.7%-7.2% pts

FCF margin

-4.0%+7.6% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$6.47B$6.47B$7.13B$7.65B$7.51B
Net Income$45.8M$45.8M$66.8M$424.6M$593.3M
EBITDA$570.3M$570.3M$602.5M$907.1M$1.05B
EPS0.050.050.070.440.67
Gross Margin26.0%26.0%25.2%28.3%32.8%
Operating Margin1.9%1.9%2.0%6.9%9.6%
Net Margin0.7%0.7%0.9%5.6%7.9%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.300.300.320.340.35
Current Ratio0.760.76———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-261.0M$-261.0M$7.6M$297.3M$-877.4M
Returns
ROE1.0%1.0%1.4%8.5%12.5%
Valuation
P/E109.00109.00107.7127.3427.09
EV/EBITDA11.4711.4711.9812.5115.10
P/B1.261.261.482.323.39
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-9.2%-9.2%-6.8%1.8%—
EPS Growth-28.6%-28.6%-84.1%-34.3%—
Dividend Yield0.6%0.6%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

126.4%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.58

Spread vs growth

-155.0%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

69.6%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.70

Spread vs growth

-98.2%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

36.6%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.13

Spread vs growth

-65.2%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -24.0%

Total return

-24.0%

Start / end P/E

123.9x → 130.8x

EPS bridge

0.07 → 0.05

Residual

-1.6%

EPS growth-28.6%
Multiple rerating+5.6%
Dividend+0.6%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-1.6%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.