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001356.SZ$10.18+0.99%
Fair $10.18+0.0%

001356.SZ

Fuling Technology Co., LTD

Consumer Cyclical / Packaging & ContainersShenzhen

$10.18

+0.10 (+0.99%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $10.18Fund rank 28/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 34/D
F-Score: 3/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 19%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $88.4M · quality 48.7/100

Data gap 28/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 20/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

34/100

D

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is 4.5%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 001356.SZLocal privado en este navegador · Fuling Technology Co., LTD
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$6.0B

P/E

84.8x

↑

EV/EBITDA

26.9x

↑

ROE

4.5%

↓

Gross Margin

17.9%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.08

↓
52-Week Range$10
$10$16

TradingView lightweight chart

001356.SZ price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $10.18Periodo -56.3%
Fair value: $10.18

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-1.7%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-27.5%

FCF / Net income

-6.15x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $2.05B · net income $91.5M · FCF $-562.9M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

17.9%-4.4% pts

Operating margin

6.4%-7.1% pts

Net margin

4.5%-7.4% pts

FCF margin

-27.5%-32.4% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$2.05B$2.05B$2.27B$1.89B$2.15B
Net Income$91.5M$91.5M$220.1M$215.7M$255.4M
EBITDA$217.5M$217.5M$352.2M$357.0M$442.2M
EPS0.160.160.500.490.58
Gross Margin17.9%17.9%21.1%24.9%22.3%
Operating Margin6.4%6.4%10.8%13.8%13.4%
Net Margin4.5%4.5%9.7%11.4%11.9%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.080.080.150.170.39
Current Ratio2.272.27———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-562.9M$-562.9M$88.4M$198.9M$104.9M
Returns
ROE4.5%4.5%16.6%19.6%28.9%
Valuation
P/E84.8384.83———
EV/EBITDA26.9026.90———
P/B2.852.85———
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-9.8%-9.8%20.1%-12.3%—
EPS Growth-68.0%-68.0%2.0%-15.5%—
Dividend Yield0.4%0.4%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

78.1%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.90

Spread vs growth

-146.1%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

46.9%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.09

Spread vs growth

-114.9%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

27.1%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.76

Spread vs growth

-95.1%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -34.0%

Total return

-34.0%

Start / end P/E

31.0x → 63.6x

EPS bridge

0.50 → 0.16

Residual

-71.4%

EPS growth-68.0%
Multiple rerating+105.0%
Dividend+0.4%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-71.4%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.