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v0.1
0018.HK$0.27+0.00%
Fair $0.27+0.0%

0018.HK

Oriental Media Group Limited

Communication Services / PublishingHKSE

$0.27

+0.00 (+0.00%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $0.27Fund rank 30/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 38/D
F-Score: 5/9
Declining RevenueMargin CompressionLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 20%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $87.7M · quality 52.7/100

Data gap 30/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 28/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

38/100

D

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 3unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Revenue has declined for 3 consecutive years Operating margin has declined for 3 consecutive years ROE is 3.2%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 0018.HKLocal privado en este navegador · Oriental Media Group Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$647M

P/E

27.0x

↑

EV/EBITDA

1.5x

↓

ROE

3.2%

↓

Gross Margin

87.7%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.01

↓
52-Week Range$0
$0$0

TradingView lightweight chart

0018.HK price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $0.270Periodo -78.7%
Fair value: $0.270

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-9.5%

FCF CAGR

-18.2%

FCF margin

22.0%

FCF / Net income

2.28x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $545.1M · net income $52.4M · FCF $119.7M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

87.7%-2.6% pts

Operating margin

9.6%-14.4% pts

Net margin

9.6%-13.0% pts

FCF margin

22.0%-7.7% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$545.1M$545.1M$629.0M$677.2M$735.8M
Net Income$52.4M$52.4M$75.1M$166.6M$166.7M
EBITDA$87.4M$87.4M$128.3M$245.6M$233.5M
EPS0.020.020.030.070.07
Gross Margin87.7%87.7%85.8%86.6%90.3%
Operating Margin9.6%9.6%12.3%22.6%24.1%
Net Margin9.6%9.6%11.9%24.6%22.7%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.010.010.010.000.00
Current Ratio14.4514.45———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$119.7M$119.7M$-121.8M$87.7M$218.4M
Returns
ROE3.2%3.2%4.2%9.7%9.0%
Valuation
P/E27.0027.0011.029.219.50
EV/EBITDA1.531.532.193.574.09
P/B0.390.390.460.890.85
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-13.3%-13.3%-7.1%-8.0%—
EPS Growth-30.0%-30.0%-55.0%0.0%—
Dividend Yield18.5%18.5%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

3.0%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$0.02

Spread vs growth

-33.1%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

5.8%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$0.03

Spread vs growth

-35.8%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

7.9%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$0.05

Spread vs growth

-37.9%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -13.1%

Total return

-13.1%

Start / end P/E

12.6x → 12.3x

EPS bridge

0.03 → 0.02

Residual

+0.7%

EPS growth-30.0%
Multiple rerating-2.3%
Dividend+18.5%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+0.7%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.