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002159.SZ$14.82-2.69%
Fair $14.82+0.0%

002159.SZ

Wuhan Sante Cableway Group Co., Ltd.

Consumer Cyclical / Travel ServicesShenzhen

$14.82

-0.41 (-2.69%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $14.82Fund rank 37/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 51/C
F-Score: 6/9
Declining Revenue

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 25% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $239.4M · quality 79.7/100

Data gap 37/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 76/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

51/100

C

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Revenue has declined for 2 consecutive years
Thesis & Journal · 002159.SZLocal privado en este navegador · Wuhan Sante Cableway Group Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$2.6B

P/E

19.5x

↑

EV/EBITDA

8.0x

↓

ROE

9.8%

↑

Gross Margin

62.4%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.08

↓
52-Week Range$15
$14$22

TradingView lightweight chart

002159.SZ price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $14.82Periodo -18.6%
Fair value: $14.82

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+35.6%

FCF CAGR

+69.2%

FCF margin

28.3%

FCF / Net income

1.26x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $638.4M · net income $143.3M · FCF $180.8M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

62.4%+33.2% pts

Operating margin

37.2%+62.4% pts

Net margin

22.5%+52.4% pts

FCF margin

28.3%+13.7% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$638.4M$638.4M$692.5M$719.0M$256.2M
Net Income$143.3M$143.3M$142.0M$127.5M$-76.8M
EBITDA$300.1M$300.1M$328.3M$320.7M$63.9M
EPS0.810.810.800.72-0.43
Gross Margin62.4%62.4%60.3%62.6%29.1%
Operating Margin37.2%37.2%37.8%39.2%-25.2%
Net Margin22.5%22.5%20.5%17.7%-30.0%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.080.080.120.110.38
Current Ratio2.762.76———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$180.8M$180.8M$239.4M$264.7M$37.3M
Returns
ROE9.8%9.8%10.4%10.1%-6.8%
Valuation
P/E19.5019.5018.6922.63—
EV/EBITDA8.028.027.428.8347.67
P/B1.791.791.942.302.52
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-7.8%-7.8%-3.7%180.7%—
EPS Growth1.3%1.3%11.1%267.4%—
Dividend Yield1.6%1.6%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

17.5%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.32

Spread vs growth

-16.3%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

14.5%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$1.59

Spread vs growth

-13.2%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

12.2%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$2.56

Spread vs growth

-11.0%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +1.0%

Total return

+1.0%

Start / end P/E

18.6x → 18.3x

EPS bridge

0.80 → 0.81

Residual

-0.0%

EPS growth+1.3%
Multiple rerating-1.8%
Dividend+1.6%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-0.0%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.