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002184.SZ$11.71-2.74%
Fair $11.71+0.0%

002184.SZ

Shanghai Hi-Tech Control System Co., Ltd

Technology / Information Technology ServicesShenzhen

$11.71

-0.33 (-2.74%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $11.71Fund rank 30/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 24/D
F-Score: 4/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 20%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-182.5M · quality 55.3/100

Data gap 30/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 26/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

24/100

D

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is -6.5%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 002184.SZLocal privado en este navegador · Shanghai Hi-Tech Control System Co., Ltd
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$4.1B

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

346.5x

↑

ROE

-6.5%

↓

Gross Margin

13.8%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.21

↓
52-Week Range$12
$11$17

TradingView lightweight chart

002184.SZ price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $12.04Periodo +48.9%
Fair value: $11.71

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-2.2%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-7.2%

FCF / Net income

2.22x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $2.53B · net income $-82.0M · FCF $-182.5M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

13.8%-4.7% pts

Operating margin

0.6%-6.8% pts

Net margin

-3.2%-8.5% pts

FCF margin

-7.2%-12.3% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$2.53B$2.53B$2.35B$3.55B$2.71B
Net Income$-82.0M$-82.0M$-222.7M$117.3M$141.7M
EBITDA$10.9M$10.9M$-283.5M$238.2M$228.1M
EPS-0.23-0.23-0.630.330.40
Gross Margin13.8%13.8%15.8%17.3%18.5%
Operating Margin0.6%0.6%-1.2%6.3%7.3%
Net Margin-3.2%-3.2%-9.5%3.3%5.2%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.210.210.450.200.23
Current Ratio2.082.08———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-182.5M$-182.5M$-427.8M$324.6M$138.7M
Returns
ROE-6.5%-6.5%-19.6%8.4%11.0%
Valuation
P/E———43.7736.89
EV/EBITDA346.48346.48—18.6621.96
P/B3.263.264.383.704.06
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth7.8%7.8%-33.8%31.3%—
EPS Growth63.2%63.2%-289.9%-17.2%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -5.6%

Total return

-5.6%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.63 → -0.23

Residual

-5.6%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-5.6%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.