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002198.SZ$4.13+2.23%
Fair $4.13+0.0%

002198.SZ

Guangdong Jiaying Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd

Healthcare / Drug Manufacturers - GeneralShenzhen

$4.13

+0.09 (+2.23%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $4.13Fund rank 25/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 25/D
F-Score: 6/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 16%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $22.1M · quality 36.0/100

Data gap 25/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 24/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

25/100

D

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is 4.2%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 002198.SZLocal privado en este navegador · Guangdong Jiaying Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$2.1B

P/E

82.6x

↑

EV/EBITDA

32.5x

↑

ROE

4.2%

↑

Gross Margin

59.9%

↑

Debt/Equity

N/A

•
52-Week Range$4
$4$8

TradingView lightweight chart

002198.SZ price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $4.130Periodo +2.0%
Fair value: $4.130

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-16.5%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-26.3%

FCF / Net income

-3.31x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $383.8M · net income $30.5M · FCF $-100.9M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

59.9%-5.4% pts

Operating margin

11.6%+3.3% pts

Net margin

7.9%+1.3% pts

FCF margin

-26.3%-30.0% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$383.8M$383.8M$376.2M$533.2M$659.2M
Net Income$30.5M$30.5M$20.6M$34.3M$43.9M
EBITDA$59.4M$59.4M$44.7M$63.6M$77.4M
EPS0.060.060.040.070.09
Gross Margin59.9%59.9%59.9%65.2%65.3%
Operating Margin11.6%11.6%7.1%7.0%8.3%
Net Margin7.9%7.9%5.5%6.4%6.7%
Balance Sheet
Current Ratio15.1515.15———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-100.9M$-100.9M$22.1M$93.4M$24.4M
Returns
ROE4.2%4.2%2.7%4.5%6.0%
Valuation
P/E82.6082.60169.21106.6675.75
EV/EBITDA32.4732.4770.4755.4740.60
P/B2.922.924.604.804.57
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth2.0%2.0%-29.5%-19.1%—
EPS Growth48.0%48.0%-39.9%-21.9%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

82.7%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.37

Spread vs growth

-34.7%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

49.1%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.44

Spread vs growth

-1.1%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

28.1%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.71

Spread vs growth

19.9%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -40.4%

Total return

-40.4%

Start / end P/E

170.7x → 68.7x

EPS bridge

0.04 → 0.06

Residual

-28.7%

EPS growth+48.0%
Multiple rerating-59.7%
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-28.7%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.