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002200.SZ$7.42+2.49%
Fair $7.42+0.0%

002200.SZ

YCIC Eco-Technology Co.,Ltd.

Consumer Defensive / Farm ProductsShenzhen

$7.42

+0.18 (+2.49%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $7.42Fund rank 34/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 24/D
F-Score: 4/9
Margin CompressionLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 25% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $156.6M · quality 66.0/100

Data gap 34/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 61/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

24/100

D

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 2unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Operating margin has declined for 3 consecutive years ROE is -1.9%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 002200.SZLocal privado en este navegador · YCIC Eco-Technology Co.,Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$3.3B

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

655.8x

↑

ROE

-1.9%

↓

Gross Margin

8.3%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.06

↓
52-Week Range$7
$7$9

TradingView lightweight chart

002200.SZ price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $7.420Periodo -70.9%
Fair value: $7.420

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-4.3%

FCF CAGR

+68.2%

FCF margin

27.4%

FCF / Net income

-5.65x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $512.8M · net income $-24.9M · FCF $140.5M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

8.3%-14.4% pts

Operating margin

-3.8%-11.3% pts

Net margin

-4.9%-6.7% pts

FCF margin

27.4%+22.3% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$512.8M$512.8M$603.5M$602.9M$584.2M
Net Income$-24.9M$-24.9M$-87.7M$9.1M$11.0M
EBITDA$1.0M$1.0M$-60.6M$70.7M$66.0M
EPS-0.12-0.12-0.480.050.06
Gross Margin8.3%8.3%10.4%12.0%22.7%
Operating Margin-3.8%-3.8%-0.6%-0.3%7.5%
Net Margin-4.9%-4.9%-14.5%1.5%1.9%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.060.06-27.7535.2824.92
Current Ratio1.531.53———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$140.5M$140.5M$156.6M$272.4M$29.5M
Returns
ROE-1.9%-1.9%205.2%25.4%21.5%
Valuation
P/E———180.93132.05
EV/EBITDA655.83655.83—35.0238.55
P/B1.191.19—45.9028.43
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-15.0%-15.0%0.1%3.2%—
EPS Growth74.6%74.6%-1066.5%-17.7%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -10.5%

Total return

-10.5%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.48 → -0.12

Residual

-10.5%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-10.5%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.