StockAnalyzer

Financial Analysis

DashboardSectorsComparablesScreenerUniverseMicrocapsAI 2nd OrderTheme MapEnergy & MaterialsMacroWatchlistCompareMi CarteraPortfolio

Recent

v0.1
002209.SZ$12.53-0.56%
Fair $12.53+0.0%

002209.SZ

Guangzhou Tech-Long Packaging Machinery Co.,Ltd.

Industrials / Specialty Industrial MachineryShenzhen

$12.53

-0.07 (-0.56%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $12.53Fund rank 35/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 46/C
F-Score: 7/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 25% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $111.0M · quality 65.3/100

Data gap 35/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 56/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

46/100

C

Piotroski

7/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 002209.SZLocal privado en este navegador · Guangzhou Tech-Long Packaging Machinery Co.,Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$2.5B

P/E

22.4x

↑

EV/EBITDA

14.5x

↑

ROE

9.7%

↑

Gross Margin

25.9%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.23

↓
52-Week Range$13
$11$20

TradingView lightweight chart

002209.SZ price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $12.53Periodo -12.0%
Fair value: $12.53

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2021–2024 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+12.7%

FCF CAGR

+189.6%

FCF margin

7.3%

FCF / Net income

1.59x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $1.52B · net income $69.8M · FCF $111.0M

2021-FY → 2024-FY

Gross margin

25.9%+8.0% pts

Operating margin

8.5%+10.2% pts

Net margin

4.6%+9.4% pts

FCF margin

7.3%+6.9% pts
MetricTTM
2024
2023
2022
2021
Income Statement
Revenue$1.52B$1.52B$1.28B$1.15B$1.06B
Net Income$69.8M$69.8M$46.6M$22.4M$-51.5M
EBITDA$145.1M$145.1M$120.6M$91.6M$7.1M
EPS0.350.350.240.11—
Gross Margin25.9%25.9%21.2%21.9%17.9%
Operating Margin8.5%8.5%4.7%2.1%-1.6%
Net Margin4.6%4.6%3.6%1.9%-4.8%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.230.230.450.570.52
Current Ratio1.141.14———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$111.0M$111.0M$190.1M$51.7M$4.6M
Returns
ROE9.7%9.7%7.3%3.8%-9.1%
Valuation
P/E22.3822.3845.8873.54—
EV/EBITDA14.4514.4516.5519.44197.27
P/B3.473.473.342.782.35
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth18.4%18.4%11.9%8.0%—
EPS Growth49.2%49.2%105.8%——
Dividend Yield0.4%0.4%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

46.8%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.11

Spread vs growth

2.4%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

30.8%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.35

Spread vs growth

18.4%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

19.9%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$2.17

Spread vs growth

29.2%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +2.4%

Total return

+2.4%

Start / end P/E

52.2x → 35.6x

EPS bridge

0.24 → 0.35

Residual

-15.6%

EPS growth+49.2%
Multiple rerating-31.7%
Dividend+0.4%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-15.6%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.