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002255.SZ$9.62-2.14%
Fair $9.62+0.0%

002255.SZ

Suzhou Hailu Heavy Industry Co.,Ltd

Industrials / Specialty Industrial MachineryShenzhen

$9.62

-0.21 (-2.14%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $9.62Fund rank 37/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 38/D
F-Score: 7/9
Declining Revenue

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 24% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $404.5M · quality 80.3/100

Data gap 37/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 77/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

38/100

D

Piotroski

7/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Revenue has declined for 2 consecutive years
Thesis & Journal · 002255.SZLocal privado en este navegador · Suzhou Hailu Heavy Industry Co.,Ltd
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$8.0B

P/E

17.8x

↑

EV/EBITDA

10.2x

↑

ROE

9.5%

↑

Gross Margin

30.0%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.01

↓
52-Week Range$10
$8$16

TradingView lightweight chart

002255.SZ price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $9.830Periodo +275.9%
Fair value: $9.620

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-0.6%

FCF CAGR

-3.5%

FCF margin

17.4%

FCF / Net income

0.97x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $2.32B · net income $416.9M · FCF $404.5M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

30.0%+4.8% pts

Operating margin

20.0%+3.6% pts

Net margin

18.0%+3.7% pts

FCF margin

17.4%-1.6% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$2.32B$2.32B$2.79B$2.80B$2.36B
Net Income$416.9M$416.9M$377.2M$340.3M$336.7M
EBITDA$588.5M$588.5M$543.6M$506.1M$478.6M
EPS0.500.500.450.400.40
Gross Margin30.0%30.0%25.3%25.5%25.3%
Operating Margin20.0%20.0%16.1%16.6%16.3%
Net Margin18.0%18.0%13.5%12.2%14.2%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.010.010.010.010.01
Current Ratio2.642.64———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$404.5M$404.5M$635.4M$288.7M$449.8M
Returns
ROE9.5%9.5%9.4%9.2%10.0%
Valuation
P/E17.8117.8111.9613.9411.83
EV/EBITDA10.2410.245.187.206.44
P/B1.831.831.131.291.19
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-16.7%-16.7%-0.2%18.2%—
EPS Growth11.8%11.8%11.1%1.0%—
Dividend Yield1.0%1.0%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

19.4%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.85

Spread vs growth

-7.6%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

15.5%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.03

Spread vs growth

-3.7%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

12.7%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$1.66

Spread vs growth

-0.9%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +0.9%

Total return

+0.9%

Start / end P/E

21.4x → 19.2x

EPS bridge

0.45 → 0.50

Residual

-1.3%

EPS growth+11.8%
Multiple rerating-10.7%
Dividend+1.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-1.3%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.