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002303.SZ$3.38+2.74%
Fair $3.38+0.0%

002303.SZ

MYS Group Co., Ltd.

Consumer Cyclical / Packaging & ContainersShenzhen

$3.38

+0.09 (+2.74%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $3.38Fund rank 38/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 33/D
F-Score: 3/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 24% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $318.3M · quality 81.3/100

Data gap 38/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 77/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

33/100

D

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 002303.SZLocal privado en este navegador · MYS Group Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$5.2B

P/E

21.1x

↑

EV/EBITDA

10.0x

↑

ROE

5.9%

↑

Gross Margin

25.9%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.29

↓
52-Week Range$3
$3$5

TradingView lightweight chart

002303.SZ price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $3.380Periodo -23.4%
Fair value: $3.380

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-1.3%

FCF CAGR

+0.3%

FCF margin

6.2%

FCF / Net income

0.94x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $3.97B · net income $260.9M · FCF $244.7M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

25.9%+7.2% pts

Operating margin

8.4%+6.3% pts

Net margin

6.6%+3.3% pts

FCF margin

6.2%+0.3% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$3.97B$3.97B$4.01B$3.51B$4.13B
Net Income$260.9M$260.9M$281.6M$196.1M$134.6M
EBITDA$529.4M$529.4M$528.6M$415.2M$368.1M
EPS0.170.170.180.130.09
Gross Margin25.9%25.9%26.7%25.2%18.7%
Operating Margin8.4%8.4%8.9%7.5%2.1%
Net Margin6.6%6.6%7.0%5.6%3.3%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.290.290.240.220.16
Current Ratio1.731.73———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$244.7M$244.7M$318.3M$370.7M$242.6M
Returns
ROE5.9%5.9%6.3%3.9%2.7%
Valuation
P/E21.1321.1317.5127.6343.57
EV/EBITDA10.0310.038.5810.6514.29
P/B1.161.161.101.071.19
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-0.9%-0.9%14.1%-14.9%—
EPS Growth-7.3%-7.3%43.6%45.7%—
Dividend Yield5.8%5.8%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

20.7%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.30

Spread vs growth

-28.1%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

16.3%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.36

Spread vs growth

-23.7%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

13.1%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$0.58

Spread vs growth

-20.5%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -0.8%

Total return

-0.8%

Start / end P/E

19.7x → 19.8x

EPS bridge

0.18 → 0.17

Residual

-0.1%

EPS growth-7.3%
Multiple rerating+0.8%
Dividend+5.8%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-0.1%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.