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002307.SZ$3.85-2.28%
Fair $3.85+0.0%

002307.SZ

Xinjiang Beixin Road & Bridge Group Co., Ltd

Industrials / Engineering & ConstructionShenzhen

$3.85

-0.09 (-2.28%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $3.85Fund rank 18/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 11/F
F-Score: 2/9
High DebtLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 35% · confianza 12%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-1.9B · quality 31.0/100

Data gap 18/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 19/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

11/100

F

Piotroski

2/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 2unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Debt-to-Equity ratio is 12.44, above the 2.0 threshold ROE is -14.0%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 002307.SZLocal privado en este navegador · Xinjiang Beixin Road & Bridge Group Co., Ltd
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$6.3B

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

37.3x

↑

ROE

-14.0%

↓

Gross Margin

14.7%

↓

Debt/Equity

12.44

↑
52-Week Range$4
$4$6

TradingView lightweight chart

002307.SZ price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $3.850Periodo -0.0%
Fair value: $3.850

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2021–2024 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-6.1%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-18.3%

FCF / Net income

4.42x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $10.22B · net income $-422.9M · FCF $-1.87B

2021-FY → 2024-FY

Gross margin

14.7%+2.8% pts

Operating margin

9.8%+3.4% pts

Net margin

-4.1%-4.6% pts

FCF margin

-18.3%+18.3% pts
MetricTTM
2024
2023
2022
2021
Income Statement
Revenue$10.22B$10.22B$8.49B$11.66B$12.32B
Net Income$-422.9M$-422.9M$32.2M$46.3M$56.8M
EBITDA$1.04B$1.04B$1.24B$1.32B$1.03B
EPS-0.35-0.350.030.04—
Gross Margin14.7%14.7%20.0%17.3%11.9%
Operating Margin9.8%9.8%14.3%11.7%6.4%
Net Margin-4.1%-4.1%0.4%0.4%0.5%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity12.4412.4410.069.398.96
Current Ratio1.021.02———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-1.87B$-1.87B$-444.9M$-2.75B$-4.52B
Returns
ROE-14.0%-14.0%0.9%1.4%1.8%
Valuation
P/E——143.00129.50—
EV/EBITDA37.3037.3028.4126.1229.37
P/B1.541.541.341.751.68
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth20.4%20.4%-27.2%-5.4%—
EPS Growth-1266.7%-1266.7%-25.0%——

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -6.3%

Total return

-6.3%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

0.03 → -0.35

Residual

-6.3%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-6.3%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.