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002316.SZ$5.07-1.74%
Fair $5.07+0.0%

002316.SZ

Jilin Asia Link Technology Development Co.,Ltd.

Technology / Communication EquipmentShenzhen

$5.07

-0.09 (-1.74%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $5.07Fund rank 24/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 32/D
F-Score: 5/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 18%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $16.4M · quality 39.7/100

Data gap 24/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 12/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

32/100

D

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 002316.SZLocal privado en este navegador · Jilin Asia Link Technology Development Co.,Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$2.0B

P/E

507.0x

↑

EV/EBITDA

55.0x

↑

ROE

8.0%

↑

Gross Margin

12.6%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.63

↑
52-Week Range$5
$4$7

TradingView lightweight chart

002316.SZ price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $5.070Periodo -53.9%
Fair value: $5.070

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-29.3%

FCF CAGR

+35.7%

FCF margin

10.9%

FCF / Net income

10.40x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $586.4M · net income $6.2M · FCF $64.1M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

12.6%-5.0% pts

Operating margin

2.6%-0.4% pts

Net margin

1.1%+6.6% pts

FCF margin

10.9%+9.4% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$586.4M$586.4M$607.4M$603.5M$1.66B
Net Income$6.2M$6.2M$10.0M$-20.0M$-91.6M
EBITDA$33.9M$33.9M$40.1M$-7.0M$62.3M
EPS0.020.020.03-0.05-0.23
Gross Margin12.6%12.6%13.7%8.5%17.6%
Operating Margin2.6%2.6%4.2%-2.0%3.0%
Net Margin1.1%1.1%1.6%-3.3%-5.5%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.630.630.690.140.19
Current Ratio0.990.99———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$64.1M$64.1M$-13.4M$16.4M$25.6M
Returns
ROE8.0%8.0%14.2%-32.4%-164.5%
Valuation
P/E507.00507.00122.53——
EV/EBITDA54.9854.9827.46—21.30
P/B25.9025.9017.4132.7326.35
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-3.5%-3.5%0.7%-63.6%—
EPS Growth-37.9%-37.9%149.7%78.1%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

206.0%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.45

Spread vs growth

-244.0%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

103.2%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.54

Spread vs growth

-141.2%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

49.5%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.88

Spread vs growth

-87.5%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +27.1%

Total return

+27.1%

Start / end P/E

157.7x → 322.9x

EPS bridge

0.03 → 0.02

Residual

-39.8%

EPS growth-37.9%
Multiple rerating+104.8%
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-39.8%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.