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002348.SZ$14.91+1.43%
Fair $14.91+0.0%

002348.SZ

Goldlok Holdings(Guangdong) Co.,Ltd.

Consumer Cyclical / LeisureShenzhen

$14.91

+0.21 (+1.43%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $14.91Fund rank 27/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 32/D
F-Score: 4/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 18%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-16.2M · quality 46.7/100

Data gap 27/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 15/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

32/100

D

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific holding-company NAV/SOTP model required: targets are disabled until look-through holdings, debt and discount data exists. ROE is -10.5%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 002348.SZLocal privado en este navegador · Goldlok Holdings(Guangdong) Co.,Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$14.1B

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

-10.5%

↓

Gross Margin

21.5%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.29

↓
52-Week Range$15
$3$16

TradingView lightweight chart

002348.SZ price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $14.91Periodo +342.4%
Fair value: $14.91

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+0.5%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-6.7%

FCF / Net income

0.50x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $322.2M · net income $-43.2M · FCF $-21.5M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

21.5%-2.9% pts

Operating margin

-11.8%-4.1% pts

Net margin

-13.4%+12.9% pts

FCF margin

-6.7%-10.3% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$322.2M$322.2M$315.3M$266.4M$317.7M
Net Income$-43.2M$-43.2M$-57.3M$-62.0M$-83.6M
EBITDA$-3.3M$-3.3M$-14.8M$-16.3M$-30.3M
EPS-0.05-0.05-0.06-0.07-0.09
Gross Margin21.5%21.5%23.3%24.7%24.4%
Operating Margin-11.8%-11.8%-6.7%-12.0%-7.7%
Net Margin-13.4%-13.4%-18.2%-23.3%-26.3%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.290.290.220.130.18
Current Ratio0.800.80———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-21.5M$-21.5M$-16.2M$-2.3M$11.5M
Returns
ROE-10.5%-10.5%-12.5%-12.1%-14.5%
Valuation
P/B34.2334.235.907.166.33
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth2.2%2.2%18.3%-16.1%—
EPS Growth24.6%24.6%7.5%25.9%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +289.3%

Total return

+289.3%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.06 → -0.05

Residual

+289.3%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+289.3%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.