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002390.SZ$3.08+1.65%
Fair $3.08+0.0%

002390.SZ

Guizhou Xinbang Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd.

Healthcare / Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & GenericShenzhen

$3.08

+0.05 (+1.65%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $3.08Fund rank 37/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 34/D
F-Score: 4/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 24% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $510.1M · quality 77.7/100

Data gap 37/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 70/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

34/100

D

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is 1.5%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 002390.SZLocal privado en este navegador · Guizhou Xinbang Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$6.0B

P/E

44.0x

↑

EV/EBITDA

13.2x

↑

ROE

1.5%

↑

Gross Margin

17.2%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.12

↓
52-Week Range$3
$3$4

TradingView lightweight chart

002390.SZ price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $3.080Periodo -41.5%
Fair value: $3.080

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2021–2024 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-2.3%

FCF CAGR

+35.7%

FCF margin

8.5%

FCF / Net income

5.03x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $6.03B · net income $101.4M · FCF $510.1M

2021-FY → 2024-FY

Gross margin

17.2%-3.7% pts

Operating margin

5.7%-3.1% pts

Net margin

1.7%-2.5% pts

FCF margin

8.5%+5.3% pts
MetricTTM
2024
2023
2022
2021
Income Statement
Revenue$6.03B$6.03B$6.46B$6.35B$6.47B
Net Income$101.4M$101.4M$287.2M$224.4M$272.9M
EBITDA$427.1M$427.1M$672.4M$608.7M$768.6M
EPS0.050.050.150.12—
Gross Margin17.2%17.2%19.0%19.2%20.9%
Operating Margin5.7%5.7%7.2%6.0%8.7%
Net Margin1.7%1.7%4.4%3.5%4.2%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.120.120.120.200.21
Current Ratio3.503.50———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$510.1M$510.1M$654.8M$432.0M$204.2M
Returns
ROE1.5%1.5%4.2%3.3%4.1%
Valuation
P/E44.0044.0029.7340.08—
EV/EBITDA13.1613.1612.7215.5419.82
P/B0.870.871.251.322.19
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-6.6%-6.6%1.7%-1.9%—
EPS Growth-64.5%-64.5%25.0%——
Dividend Yield2.9%2.9%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

72.4%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.27

Spread vs growth

-136.9%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

44.1%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.33

Spread vs growth

-108.5%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

25.9%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.53

Spread vs growth

-90.3%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -11.0%

Total return

-11.0%

Start / end P/E

23.9x → 57.8x

EPS bridge

0.15 → 0.05

Residual

-91.6%

EPS growth-64.5%
Multiple rerating+142.1%
Dividend+2.9%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-91.6%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.