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002412.SZ$6.87+2.69%
Fair $6.87+0.0%

002412.SZ

Hunan Hansen Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd.

Healthcare / Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & GenericShenzhen

$6.87

+0.18 (+2.69%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $6.87Fund rank 36/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 54/C
F-Score: 5/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 23% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $141.5M · quality 77.0/100

Data gap 36/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 77/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

54/100

C

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 002412.SZLocal privado en este navegador · Hunan Hansen Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$3.5B

P/E

15.3x

↓

EV/EBITDA

11.6x

↓

ROE

8.3%

↑

Gross Margin

77.4%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.02

↓
52-Week Range$7
$6$9

TradingView lightweight chart

002412.SZ price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $6.870Periodo +8.2%
Fair value: $6.870

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+4.3%

FCF CAGR

+21.0%

FCF margin

22.6%

FCF / Net income

1.18x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $1.04B · net income $198.1M · FCF $234.3M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

77.4%+5.3% pts

Operating margin

23.3%+8.0% pts

Net margin

19.1%+0.8% pts

FCF margin

22.6%+8.1% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$1.04B$1.04B$1.00B$955.5M$916.1M
Net Income$198.1M$198.1M$220.2M$205.0M$167.6M
EBITDA$281.0M$281.0M$296.1M$280.7M$237.3M
EPS0.390.390.440.410.33
Gross Margin77.4%77.4%75.9%73.2%72.1%
Operating Margin23.3%23.3%24.1%18.6%15.3%
Net Margin19.1%19.1%21.9%21.5%18.3%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.020.020.040.050.06
Current Ratio4.494.49———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$234.3M$234.3M$119.1M$141.5M$132.3M
Returns
ROE8.3%8.3%10.0%10.4%8.8%
Valuation
P/E15.2715.2713.0716.8618.25
EV/EBITDA11.6211.629.5712.4712.78
P/B1.451.451.311.761.62
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth3.4%3.4%5.1%4.3%—
EPS Growth-10.1%-10.1%7.4%22.3%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

15.7%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.61

Spread vs growth

-25.7%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

13.4%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$0.74

Spread vs growth

-23.4%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

11.7%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$1.19

Spread vs growth

-21.7%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +18.4%

Total return

+18.4%

Start / end P/E

13.3x → 17.4x

EPS bridge

0.44 → 0.39

Residual

-3.2%

EPS growth-10.1%
Multiple rerating+31.7%
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-3.2%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.