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002449.SZ$8.33+2.84%
Fair $8.33+0.0%

002449.SZ

Foshan NationStar Optoelectronics Co.,Ltd

Technology / Electronic ComponentsShenzhen

$8.33

+0.23 (+2.84%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $8.33Fund rank 28/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 35/D
F-Score: 4/9
Declining RevenueMargin CompressionLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 23%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $38.3M · quality 50.7/100

Data gap 28/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 24/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

35/100

D

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 3unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Revenue has declined for 3 consecutive years Operating margin has declined for 3 consecutive years ROE is -0.3%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 002449.SZLocal privado en este navegador · Foshan NationStar Optoelectronics Co.,Ltd
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$5.2B

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

12.9x

↓

ROE

-0.3%

↓

Gross Margin

11.6%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.09

↓
52-Week Range$8
$7$11

TradingView lightweight chart

002449.SZ price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $8.330Periodo -23.6%
Fair value: $8.330

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-2.9%

FCF CAGR

+52.0%

FCF margin

0.8%

FCF / Net income

-2.05x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $3.28B · net income $-13.0M · FCF $26.7M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

11.6%-0.5% pts

Operating margin

0.4%-3.5% pts

Net margin

-0.4%-3.8% pts

FCF margin

0.8%+0.6% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$3.28B$3.28B$3.47B$3.54B$3.58B
Net Income$-13.0M$-13.0M$51.5M$85.6M$121.3M
EBITDA$325.9M$325.9M$417.0M$469.4M$503.8M
EPS-0.02-0.020.080.140.20
Gross Margin11.6%11.6%11.5%11.9%12.1%
Operating Margin0.4%0.4%1.2%2.7%3.9%
Net Margin-0.4%-0.4%1.5%2.4%3.4%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.090.090.120.170.17
Current Ratio1.961.96———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$26.7M$26.7M$38.3M$170.1M$7.6M
Returns
ROE-0.3%-0.3%1.3%2.3%3.2%
Valuation
P/E——171.9163.6145.36
EV/EBITDA12.9312.9319.0610.059.30
P/B1.361.362.321.431.47
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-5.5%-5.5%-1.9%-1.1%—
EPS Growth-125.2%-125.2%-39.9%-29.4%—
Dividend Yield0.6%0.6%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -4.1%

Total return

-4.1%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

0.08 → -0.02

Residual

-4.7%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.6%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-4.7%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.