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002486.SZ$2.57+4.05%
Fair $2.57+0.0%

002486.SZ

Shanghai Challenge Textile Co.,Ltd.

Consumer Cyclical / Textile ManufacturingShenzhen

$2.57

+0.10 (+4.05%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $2.57Fund rank 32/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 50/C
F-Score: 7/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 26% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $18.5M · quality 61.7/100

Data gap 32/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 47/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

50/100

C

Piotroski

7/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is 4.3%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 002486.SZLocal privado en este navegador · Shanghai Challenge Textile Co.,Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$2.1B

P/E

51.4x

↑

EV/EBITDA

19.8x

↑

ROE

4.3%

↓

Gross Margin

21.7%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.03

↓
52-Week Range$3
$2$3

TradingView lightweight chart

002486.SZ price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $2.570Periodo -31.6%
Fair value: $2.570

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-2.5%

FCF CAGR

-43.8%

FCF margin

1.5%

FCF / Net income

0.40x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $1.27B · net income $46.3M · FCF $18.5M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

21.7%+0.1% pts

Operating margin

4.8%-1.0% pts

Net margin

3.7%-3.2% pts

FCF margin

1.5%-6.2% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$1.27B$1.27B$1.18B$988.2M$1.37B
Net Income$46.3M$46.3M$19.1M$51.5M$93.2M
EBITDA$95.7M$95.7M$54.9M$91.4M$136.8M
EPS0.060.060.020.060.11
Gross Margin21.7%21.7%21.3%25.2%21.6%
Operating Margin4.8%4.8%3.8%5.4%5.8%
Net Margin3.7%3.7%1.6%5.2%6.8%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.030.030.030.040.07
Current Ratio4.524.52———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$18.5M$18.5M$6.5M$57.0M$104.7M
Returns
ROE4.3%4.3%1.8%5.0%9.3%
Valuation
P/E51.4051.40100.0048.3030.09
EV/EBITDA19.7619.7630.3424.5718.86
P/B1.971.971.842.412.79
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth7.0%7.0%19.7%-27.6%—
EPS Growth143.9%143.9%-62.8%-44.7%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

59.6%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.23

Spread vs growth

84.3%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

37.5%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.28

Spread vs growth

106.4%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

23.0%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.44

Spread vs growth

120.9%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +4.5%

Total return

+4.5%

Start / end P/E

107.0x → 45.8x

EPS bridge

0.02 → 0.06

Residual

-82.3%

EPS growth+143.9%
Multiple rerating-57.2%
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-82.3%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.