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002515.SZ$6.18-0.96%
Fair $6.18+0.0%

002515.SZ

Jinzi Ham Co.,Ltd.

Consumer Defensive / Food DistributionShenzhen

$6.18

-0.06 (-0.96%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $6.18Fund rank 25/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 41/C
F-Score: 2/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 18%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-65.2M · quality 43.7/100

Data gap 25/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 10/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

41/100

C

Piotroski

2/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is 1.0%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 002515.SZLocal privado en este navegador · Jinzi Ham Co.,Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$7.5B

P/E

618.0x

↑

EV/EBITDA

187.9x

↑

ROE

1.0%

↓

Gross Margin

25.3%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.00

↓
52-Week Range$6
$5$8

TradingView lightweight chart

002515.SZ price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $6.240Periodo +6.1%
Fair value: $6.180

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-10.7%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-64.2%

FCF / Net income

-8.04x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $316.9M · net income $25.3M · FCF $-203.3M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

25.3%+0.3% pts

Operating margin

3.8%-5.1% pts

Net margin

8.0%-3.0% pts

FCF margin

-64.2%-114.3% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$316.9M$316.9M$343.9M$313.7M$444.6M
Net Income$25.3M$25.3M$62.2M$40.1M$49.0M
EBITDA$34.2M$34.2M$89.8M$70.7M$84.1M
EPS0.020.020.050.040.05
Gross Margin25.3%25.3%22.0%25.0%25.0%
Operating Margin3.8%3.8%3.7%5.2%8.8%
Net Margin8.0%8.0%18.1%12.8%11.0%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.000.00———
Current Ratio29.9629.96———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-203.3M$-203.3M$48.1M$-65.2M$222.8M
Returns
ROE1.0%1.0%2.4%1.5%3.2%
Valuation
P/E618.00618.0087.00140.5089.40
EV/EBITDA187.86187.8641.0161.7544.92
P/B2.992.992.062.182.88
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-7.8%-7.8%9.6%-29.4%—
EPS Growth-60.0%-60.0%25.0%-20.0%—
Dividend Yield0.2%0.2%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

201.5%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.55

Spread vs growth

-261.5%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

101.4%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.66

Spread vs growth

-161.4%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

48.9%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.07

Spread vs growth

-108.9%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +10.9%

Total return

+10.9%

Start / end P/E

111.6x → 309.0x

EPS bridge

0.05 → 0.02

Residual

-106.1%

EPS growth-60.0%
Multiple rerating+176.9%
Dividend+0.2%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-106.1%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.