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002533.SZ$12.48-2.04%
Fair $12.48+0.0%

002533.SZ

Gold cup Electric Apparatus Co.,Ltd.

Industrials / Electrical Equipment & PartsShenzhen

$12.48

-0.26 (-2.04%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $12.48Fund rank 32/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 60/B
F-Score: 4/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 25% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $143.5M · quality 58.3/100

Data gap 32/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 47/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

60/100

B

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 002533.SZLocal privado en este navegador · Gold cup Electric Apparatus Co.,Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$9.2B

P/E

15.2x

↓

EV/EBITDA

7.9x

↓

ROE

13.1%

↑

Gross Margin

10.2%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.29

↓
52-Week Range$12
$9$17

TradingView lightweight chart

002533.SZ price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $12.48Periodo +38.3%
Fair value: $12.48

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+15.5%

FCF CAGR

-57.5%

FCF margin

0.2%

FCF / Net income

0.06x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $20.32B · net income $599.9M · FCF $35.7M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

10.2%-1.3% pts

Operating margin

4.2%-0.0% pts

Net margin

3.0%+0.1% pts

FCF margin

0.2%-3.3% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$20.32B$20.32B$17.67B$15.29B$13.20B
Net Income$599.9M$599.9M$568.7M$522.8M$370.6M
EBITDA$1.02B$1.02B$937.5M$885.4M$652.2M
EPS0.820.820.780.710.51
Gross Margin10.2%10.2%10.4%11.3%11.5%
Operating Margin4.2%4.2%4.2%4.8%4.2%
Net Margin3.0%3.0%3.2%3.4%2.8%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.290.290.320.230.17
Current Ratio1.451.45———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$35.7M$35.7M$143.5M$294.6M$463.4M
Returns
ROE13.1%13.1%14.4%13.5%10.2%
Valuation
P/E15.2215.2212.0811.4312.83
EV/EBITDA7.957.956.345.506.25
P/B1.981.981.741.541.31
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth15.0%15.0%15.5%15.8%—
EPS Growth5.8%5.8%9.6%41.0%—
Dividend Yield3.4%3.4%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

10.3%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$1.11

Spread vs growth

-4.5%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

10.2%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$1.34

Spread vs growth

-4.4%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

10.1%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$2.16

Spread vs growth

-4.3%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +28.3%

Total return

+28.3%

Start / end P/E

12.8x → 15.1x

EPS bridge

0.78 → 0.82

Residual

+1.0%

EPS growth+5.8%
Multiple rerating+18.1%
Dividend+3.4%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+1.0%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.