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002542.SZ$1.70+2.41%
Fair $1.70+0.0%

002542.SZ

China Zhonghua Geotechnical Engineering Group Co., Ltd.

Industrials / Engineering & ConstructionShenzhen

$1.70

+0.04 (+2.41%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $1.70Fund rank 26/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 14/F
F-Score: 5/9
Declining Revenue

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 18%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $76.4M · quality 43.7/100

Data gap 26/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 15/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

14/100

F

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Revenue has declined for 2 consecutive years
Thesis & Journal · 002542.SZLocal privado en este navegador · China Zhonghua Geotechnical Engineering Group Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$3.1B

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

723.2%

↑

Gross Margin

-1.8%

↓

Debt/Equity

-19.48

↓
52-Week Range$2
$1$5

TradingView lightweight chart

002542.SZ price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $1.700Periodo -14.8%
Fair value: $1.700

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-22.7%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-2.1%

FCF / Net income

0.02x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $1.01B · net income $-951.2M · FCF $-21.4M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

-1.8%-2.1% pts

Operating margin

-36.5%-21.1% pts

Net margin

-94.5%-62.0% pts

FCF margin

-2.1%-12.4% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$1.01B$1.01B$1.53B$2.53B$2.18B
Net Income$-951.2M$-951.2M$-1.38B$-739.4M$-707.5M
EBITDA$-586.1M$-586.1M$-1.25B$-621.8M$-458.5M
EPS-0.53-0.53-0.77-0.41-0.39
Gross Margin-1.8%-1.8%-15.9%0.5%0.3%
Operating Margin-36.5%-36.5%-40.0%-16.2%-15.4%
Net Margin-94.5%-94.5%-90.5%-29.3%-32.5%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity-19.48-19.483.081.420.96
Current Ratio0.780.78———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-21.4M$-21.4M$594.3M$76.4M$223.3M
Returns
ROE723.2%723.2%-169.4%-33.1%-23.9%
Valuation
P/B——7.702.482.21
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-34.2%-34.2%-39.4%16.1%—
EPS Growth31.2%31.2%-87.8%-5.1%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -48.6%

Total return

-48.6%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.77 → -0.53

Residual

-48.6%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-48.6%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.