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002548.SZ$4.07+1.95%
Fair $4.07+0.0%

002548.SZ

Shenzhen Kingsino Technology Co.,Ltd.

Consumer Defensive / Packaged FoodsShenzhen

$4.07

+0.08 (+1.95%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $4.07Fund rank 20/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 16/F
F-Score: 3/9
High DebtLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 35% · confianza 10%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $96.2M · quality 21.3/100

Data gap 20/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 15/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

16/100

F

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 2unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Debt-to-Equity ratio is 2.33, above the 2.0 threshold ROE is -23.8%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 002548.SZLocal privado en este navegador · Shenzhen Kingsino Technology Co.,Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$3.4B

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

43.3x

↑

ROE

-23.8%

↓

Gross Margin

4.8%

↓

Debt/Equity

2.33

↑
52-Week Range$4
$4$7

TradingView lightweight chart

002548.SZ price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $4.180Periodo -36.1%
Fair value: $4.070

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+6.1%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

2.0%

FCF / Net income

-0.33x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $4.75B · net income $-292.7M · FCF $96.2M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

4.8%-5.0% pts

Operating margin

-2.1%-3.9% pts

Net margin

-6.2%-6.7% pts

FCF margin

2.0%+8.6% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$4.75B$4.75B$4.56B$4.04B$3.97B
Net Income$-292.7M$-292.7M$30.2M$-659.9M$19.9M
EBITDA$135.4M$135.4M$495.5M$-202.8M$372.2M
EPS-0.36-0.360.04-0.840.03
Gross Margin4.8%4.8%10.6%3.3%9.8%
Operating Margin-2.1%-2.1%4.1%-4.7%1.9%
Net Margin-6.2%-6.2%0.7%-16.3%0.5%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity2.332.331.822.011.46
Current Ratio0.370.37———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$96.2M$96.2M$139.7M$-216.8M$-261.3M
Returns
ROE-23.8%-23.8%2.0%-44.6%0.9%
Valuation
P/E——94.25—189.00
EV/EBITDA43.3043.3010.62—12.50
P/B2.702.701.882.801.32
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth4.0%4.0%12.9%1.7%—
EPS Growth-1000.0%-1000.0%104.8%-2900.0%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +8.9%

Total return

+8.9%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

0.04 → -0.36

Residual

+8.9%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+8.9%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.