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002550.SZ$6.20-2.05%
Fair $6.20+0.0%

002550.SZ

Changzhou Qianhong Biopharma CO.,LTD

Healthcare / Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & GenericShenzhen

$6.20

-0.13 (-2.05%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $6.20Fund rank 31/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 42/C
F-Score: 6/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 23%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $424.1M · quality 59.0/100

Data gap 31/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 39/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

42/100

C

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 002550.SZLocal privado en este navegador · Changzhou Qianhong Biopharma CO.,LTD
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$7.9B

P/E

23.8x

↑

EV/EBITDA

14.0x

↑

ROE

14.4%

↑

Gross Margin

58.4%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.00

↓
52-Week Range$6
$6$13

TradingView lightweight chart

002550.SZ price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $6.200Periodo +26.5%
Fair value: $6.200

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-12.0%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

14.0%

FCF / Net income

0.55x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $1.57B · net income $398.8M · FCF $219.8M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

58.4%+19.8% pts

Operating margin

21.2%+10.4% pts

Net margin

25.4%+11.3% pts

FCF margin

14.0%+20.2% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$1.57B$1.57B$1.53B$1.81B$2.30B
Net Income$398.8M$398.8M$356.0M$181.9M$323.4M
EBITDA$516.5M$516.5M$462.7M$278.7M$430.3M
EPS0.320.320.280.140.25
Gross Margin58.4%58.4%54.9%43.3%38.6%
Operating Margin21.2%21.2%19.3%9.2%10.8%
Net Margin25.4%25.4%23.3%10.0%14.0%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.000.000.010.020.04
Current Ratio7.307.30———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$219.8M$219.8M$424.1M$433.0M$-142.5M
Returns
ROE14.4%14.4%14.1%7.4%13.2%
Valuation
P/E23.8523.8521.4642.3626.52
EV/EBITDA14.0114.0115.6125.7719.21
P/B2.792.793.043.143.50
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth3.0%3.0%-15.9%-21.2%—
EPS Growth14.3%14.3%100.0%-44.0%—
Dividend Yield2.4%2.4%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

19.8%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.55

Spread vs growth

-5.5%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

15.8%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.67

Spread vs growth

-1.5%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

12.9%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$1.07

Spread vs growth

1.4%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +3.3%

Total return

+3.3%

Start / end P/E

21.9x → 19.4x

EPS bridge

0.28 → 0.32

Residual

-1.7%

EPS growth+14.3%
Multiple rerating-11.6%
Dividend+2.4%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-1.7%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.