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002553.SZ$18.30+1.27%
Fair $18.30+0.0%

002553.SZ

Jiangsu NanFang Precision Co.,Ltd.

Consumer Cyclical / Auto PartsShenzhen

$18.30

+0.23 (+1.27%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $18.30Fund rank 37/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 45/C
F-Score: 5/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 23% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $45.9M · quality 76.3/100

Data gap 37/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 73/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

45/100

C

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 002553.SZLocal privado en este navegador · Jiangsu NanFang Precision Co.,Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$6.5B

P/E

25.1x

↑

EV/EBITDA

12.9x

↑

ROE

22.0%

↑

Gross Margin

32.3%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.02

↓
52-Week Range$18
$18$37

TradingView lightweight chart

002553.SZ price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $18.40Periodo +192.5%
Fair value: $18.30

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+13.3%

FCF CAGR

-0.7%

FCF margin

5.4%

FCF / Net income

0.13x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $854.1M · net income $345.6M · FCF $45.9M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

32.3%+1.2% pts

Operating margin

16.6%+5.1% pts

Net margin

40.5%+32.2% pts

FCF margin

5.4%-2.6% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$854.1M$854.1M$784.1M$671.3M$587.6M
Net Income$345.6M$345.6M$24.4M$27.3M$48.5M
EBITDA$441.8M$441.8M$60.5M$64.4M$81.2M
EPS0.990.990.070.080.14
Gross Margin32.3%32.3%32.7%34.3%31.2%
Operating Margin16.6%16.6%15.4%14.0%11.6%
Net Margin40.5%40.5%3.1%4.1%8.3%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.020.020.030.010.01
Current Ratio5.135.13———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$45.9M$45.9M$87.7M$30.3M$46.9M
Returns
ROE22.0%22.0%2.2%2.3%4.1%
Valuation
P/E25.0725.07171.33151.6685.93
EV/EBITDA12.8812.8862.2358.2248.43
P/B4.064.063.693.513.51
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth8.9%8.9%16.8%14.3%—
EPS Growth1314.8%1314.8%-10.6%-43.7%—
Dividend Yield1.1%1.1%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

17.9%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.62

Spread vs growth

1297.0%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

14.7%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$1.96

Spread vs growth

1300.2%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

12.3%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$3.16

Spread vs growth

1302.5%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -21.1%

Total return

-21.1%

Start / end P/E

337.4x → 18.6x

EPS bridge

0.07 → 0.99

Residual

-1242.5%

EPS growth+1314.8%
Multiple rerating-94.5%
Dividend+1.1%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-1242.5%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.