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002586.SZ$4.34-1.81%
Fair $4.34+0.0%

002586.SZ

Zhejiang Reclaim Construction Group Co., Ltd.

Industrials / Engineering & ConstructionShenzhen

$4.34

-0.08 (-1.81%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $4.34Fund rank 26/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 36/D
F-Score: 4/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 18%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-75.0M · quality 46.0/100

Data gap 26/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 14/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

36/100

D

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 002586.SZLocal privado en este navegador · Zhejiang Reclaim Construction Group Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$5.0B

P/E

18.9x

↑

EV/EBITDA

11.6x

↑

ROE

8.5%

↑

Gross Margin

10.2%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.09

↓
52-Week Range$4
$3$5

TradingView lightweight chart

002586.SZ price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $4.340Periodo +14.5%
Fair value: $4.340

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-6.5%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-24.4%

FCF / Net income

-1.87x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $2.09B · net income $273.4M · FCF $-510.3M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

10.2%+0.8% pts

Operating margin

-0.2%-1.3% pts

Net margin

13.1%+32.5% pts

FCF margin

-24.4%-20.2% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$2.09B$2.09B$2.48B$2.13B$2.56B
Net Income$273.4M$273.4M$-151.1M$-137.1M$-497.1M
EBITDA$344.7M$344.7M$-103.9M$-28.0M$-371.7M
EPS0.240.24-0.13-0.12-0.43
Gross Margin10.2%10.2%10.5%8.9%9.4%
Operating Margin-0.2%-0.2%-0.5%-2.2%1.1%
Net Margin13.1%13.1%-6.1%-6.4%-19.4%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.090.090.310.330.36
Current Ratio1.461.46———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-510.3M$-510.3M$-75.0M$8.5M$-107.8M
Returns
ROE8.5%8.5%-5.2%-4.5%-15.5%
Valuation
P/E18.8718.87———
EV/EBITDA11.5711.57———
P/B1.541.540.981.441.70
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-15.7%-15.7%16.4%-16.7%—
EPS Growth281.0%281.0%-10.2%72.4%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

17.3%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.39

Spread vs growth

263.7%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

14.3%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$0.47

Spread vs growth

266.7%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

12.1%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$0.75

Spread vs growth

268.9%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +36.5%

Total return

+36.5%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.13 → 0.24

Residual

+36.5%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+36.5%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.