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002589.SZ$2.92-0.68%
Fair $2.92+0.0%

002589.SZ

Realcan Pharmaceutical Group Co., Ltd.

Healthcare / Medical DistributionShenzhen

$2.92

-0.02 (-0.68%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $2.92Fund rank 22/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 23/D
F-Score: 6/9
Declining RevenueLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 16%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-13.1M · quality 33.7/100

Data gap 22/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 10/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

23/100

D

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 2unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Revenue has declined for 3 consecutive years ROE is 0.3%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 002589.SZLocal privado en este navegador · Realcan Pharmaceutical Group Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$4.4B

P/E

292.0x

↑

EV/EBITDA

15.4x

↑

ROE

0.3%

↑

Gross Margin

10.6%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.87

↑
52-Week Range$3
$3$5

TradingView lightweight chart

002589.SZ price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $2.940Periodo +10.7%
Fair value: $2.920

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-16.0%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-0.2%

FCF / Net income

-0.81x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $7.30B · net income $16.1M · FCF $-13.1M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

10.6%-2.9% pts

Operating margin

0.9%+0.4% pts

Net margin

0.2%+15.1% pts

FCF margin

-0.2%-3.0% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$7.30B$7.30B$7.97B$8.03B$12.31B
Net Income$16.1M$16.1M$12.3M$20.3M$-1.83B
EBITDA$360.7M$360.7M$423.8M$388.0M$-1.05B
EPS0.010.010.010.01-1.24
Gross Margin10.6%10.6%11.0%10.3%13.6%
Operating Margin0.9%0.9%0.8%-0.8%0.5%
Net Margin0.2%0.2%0.2%0.3%-14.9%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.870.871.191.250.72
Current Ratio1.101.10———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-13.1M$-13.1M$49.2M$-215.9M$352.1M
Returns
ROE0.3%0.3%0.2%0.4%-33.9%
Valuation
P/E292.00292.00277.00237.78—
EV/EBITDA15.4015.4011.8117.00—
P/B0.890.890.610.891.14
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-8.4%-8.4%-0.8%-34.7%—
EPS Growth0.0%0.0%-25.9%101.1%—
Dividend Yield0.4%0.4%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

195.9%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.26

Spread vs growth

-195.9%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

99.2%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.31

Spread vs growth

-99.2%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

48.0%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.50

Spread vs growth

-48.0%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -1.6%

Total return

-1.6%

Start / end P/E

298.0x → 292.0x

EPS bridge

0.01 → 0.01

Residual

-0.0%

EPS growth+0.0%
Multiple rerating-2.0%
Dividend+0.4%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-0.0%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.