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002592.SZ$7.20+3.15%
Fair $7.20+0.0%

002592.SZ

Nanning Baling Technology Co., Ltd.

Consumer Cyclical / Auto PartsShenzhen

$7.20

+0.22 (+3.15%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $7.20Fund rank 30/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 51/C
F-Score: 5/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 32% · confianza 24%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $14.4M · quality 58.3/100

Data gap 30/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 37/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

51/100

C

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 002592.SZLocal privado en este navegador · Nanning Baling Technology Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$2.0B

P/E

21.8x

↑

EV/EBITDA

12.8x

↑

ROE

12.5%

↑

Gross Margin

22.2%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.01

↓
52-Week Range$7
$6$11

TradingView lightweight chart

002592.SZ price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $7.200Periodo -39.4%
Fair value: $7.200

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+8.8%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-0.4%

FCF / Net income

-0.02x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $711.6M · net income $116.9M · FCF $-2.7M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

22.2%+1.6% pts

Operating margin

7.4%+11.9% pts

Net margin

16.4%+14.0% pts

FCF margin

-0.4%-11.1% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$711.6M$711.6M$658.9M$542.7M$552.4M
Net Income$116.9M$116.9M$70.0M$105.5M$13.5M
EBITDA$150.7M$150.7M$116.6M$145.7M$59.9M
EPS0.410.410.260.400.05
Gross Margin22.2%22.2%21.3%22.6%20.6%
Operating Margin7.4%7.4%3.7%1.4%-4.6%
Net Margin16.4%16.4%10.6%19.4%2.4%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.010.010.000.050.15
Current Ratio1.891.89———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-2.7M$-2.7M$65.2M$14.4M$59.0M
Returns
ROE12.5%12.5%7.9%13.0%1.8%
Valuation
P/E21.8221.8217.9215.25111.60
EV/EBITDA12.8212.8210.2610.2924.25
P/B2.192.191.421.981.97
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth8.0%8.0%21.4%-1.8%—
EPS Growth57.7%57.7%-35.0%700.0%—
Dividend Yield3.5%3.5%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

15.9%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.64

Spread vs growth

41.8%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

13.5%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$0.77

Spread vs growth

44.2%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

11.7%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$1.24

Spread vs growth

45.9%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +29.3%

Total return

+29.3%

Start / end P/E

22.0x → 17.6x

EPS bridge

0.26 → 0.41

Residual

-11.6%

EPS growth+57.7%
Multiple rerating-20.2%
Dividend+3.5%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-11.6%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.