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002599.SZ$6.39-0.78%
Fair $6.39+0.0%

002599.SZ

Beijing Shengtong Printing Co., Ltd

Industrials / Specialty Business ServicesShenzhen

$6.39

-0.05 (-0.78%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $6.39Fund rank 35/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 37/D
F-Score: 6/9
Declining RevenueLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 25% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $88.5M · quality 73.3/100

Data gap 35/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 62/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

37/100

D

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 2unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Revenue has declined for 2 consecutive years ROE is 0.6%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 002599.SZLocal privado en este navegador · Beijing Shengtong Printing Co., Ltd
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$3.4B

P/E

639.0x

↑

EV/EBITDA

28.3x

↑

ROE

0.6%

↓

Gross Margin

15.1%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.06

↓
52-Week Range$6
$6$10

TradingView lightweight chart

002599.SZ price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $6.390Periodo +30.3%
Fair value: $6.390

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-3.1%

FCF CAGR

-19.6%

FCF margin

4.3%

FCF / Net income

11.76x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $2.04B · net income $7.5M · FCF $88.5M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

15.1%-0.5% pts

Operating margin

1.1%-0.1% pts

Net margin

0.4%+0.1% pts

FCF margin

4.3%-3.3% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$2.04B$2.04B$2.05B$2.40B$2.24B
Net Income$7.5M$7.5M$-192.2M$4.1M$5.0M
EBITDA$165.6M$165.6M$-11.1M$176.6M$181.2M
EPS0.010.01-0.360.010.01
Gross Margin15.1%15.1%15.3%15.0%15.6%
Operating Margin1.1%1.1%0.2%0.8%1.1%
Net Margin0.4%0.4%-9.4%0.2%0.2%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.060.060.120.120.15
Current Ratio1.211.21———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$88.5M$88.5M$22.3M$121.7M$170.2M
Returns
ROE0.6%0.6%-15.5%0.3%0.3%
Valuation
P/E639.00639.00—736.00525.00
EV/EBITDA28.2928.29—16.3914.23
P/B3.893.892.842.081.81
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-0.4%-0.4%-14.6%7.0%—
EPS Growth102.8%102.8%-3700.0%0.0%—
Dividend Yield0.3%0.3%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

284.2%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.57

Spread vs growth

-181.4%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

133.0%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.69

Spread vs growth

-30.2%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

60.1%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.10

Spread vs growth

42.7%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -31.0%

Total return

-31.0%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.36 → 0.01

Residual

-31.3%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.3%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-31.3%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.