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002630.SZ$1.68+5.00%
Fair $1.68+0.0%

002630.SZ

China Western Power Industrial Co., Ltd.

Industrials / Specialty Industrial MachineryShenzhen

$1.68

+0.08 (+5.00%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $1.68Fund rank 30/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 31/D
F-Score: 5/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 24% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $227.6M · quality 55.7/100

Data gap 30/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 46/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

31/100

D

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is 4.9%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 002630.SZLocal privado en este navegador · China Western Power Industrial Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$2.0B

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

127.5x

↑

ROE

494.4%

↑

Gross Margin

20.6%

↓

Debt/Equity

-62.33

↓
52-Week Range$2
$2$4

TradingView lightweight chart

002630.SZ price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $1.680Periodo -56.5%
Fair value: $1.680

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+25.0%

FCF CAGR

-5.7%

FCF margin

13.6%

FCF / Net income

-0.79x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $1.68B · net income $-287.1M · FCF $227.6M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

20.6%+18.6% pts

Operating margin

5.6%+30.3% pts

Net margin

-17.1%+71.0% pts

FCF margin

13.6%-18.0% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$1.68B$1.68B$2.59B$1.87B$859.1M
Net Income$-287.1M$-287.1M$-327.5M$-193.1M$-757.1M
EBITDA$42.0M$42.0M$72.1M$180.2M$-358.4M
EPS-0.25-0.25-0.29-0.16-0.64
Gross Margin20.6%20.6%22.1%17.7%2.0%
Operating Margin5.6%5.6%12.2%4.2%-24.7%
Net Margin-17.1%-17.1%-12.6%-10.3%-88.1%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity-62.33-62.3321.907.995.68
Current Ratio0.560.56———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$227.6M$227.6M$57.0M$228.3M$271.6M
Returns
ROE494.4%494.4%-148.0%-31.9%-85.0%
Valuation
EV/EBITDA127.50127.50114.1642.20—
P/B——16.174.984.10
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-35.4%-35.4%38.9%117.3%—
EPS Growth14.4%14.4%-80.4%74.5%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -31.4%

Total return

-31.4%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.29 → -0.25

Residual

-31.4%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-31.4%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.