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002642.SZ$8.26-4.62%
Fair $8.26+0.0%

002642.SZ

Ronglian Group Ltd.

Technology / Information Technology ServicesShenzhen

$8.26

-0.40 (-4.62%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $8.26Fund rank 23/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 32/D
F-Score: 4/9
Declining RevenueLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 17%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $60.9M · quality 39.7/100

Data gap 23/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 6/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

32/100

D

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 2unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Revenue has declined for 3 consecutive years ROE is 1.7%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 002642.SZLocal privado en este navegador · Ronglian Group Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$5.5B

P/E

275.3x

↑

EV/EBITDA

114.9x

↑

ROE

1.7%

↓

Gross Margin

13.8%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.34

↑
52-Week Range$8
$7$12

TradingView lightweight chart

002642.SZ price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $8.660Periodo +34.5%
Fair value: $8.260

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-19.5%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

3.1%

FCF / Net income

3.04x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $1.95B · net income $20.0M · FCF $60.9M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

13.8%+2.2% pts

Operating margin

2.2%-0.0% pts

Net margin

1.0%+0.7% pts

FCF margin

3.1%+7.9% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$1.95B$1.95B$2.02B$2.38B$3.74B
Net Income$20.0M$20.0M$28.1M$-357.3M$12.2M
EBITDA$45.2M$45.2M$57.9M$-284.4M$73.4M
EPS0.030.030.04-0.540.02
Gross Margin13.8%13.8%13.2%9.1%11.6%
Operating Margin2.2%2.2%1.7%-5.6%2.3%
Net Margin1.0%1.0%1.4%-15.0%0.3%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.340.340.200.260.25
Current Ratio1.501.50———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$60.9M$60.9M$-125.5M$197.0M$-179.9M
Returns
ROE1.7%1.7%2.4%-31.5%0.8%
Valuation
P/E275.33275.33153.88—434.97
EV/EBITDA114.95114.9570.35—69.89
P/B4.594.593.704.583.51
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-3.6%-3.6%-14.9%-36.5%—
EPS Growth-28.7%-28.7%107.9%-3045.9%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

189.2%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.73

Spread vs growth

-217.9%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

96.5%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.89

Spread vs growth

-125.2%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

47.0%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.43

Spread vs growth

-75.7%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +6.0%

Total return

+6.0%

Start / end P/E

183.3x → 272.6x

EPS bridge

0.04 → 0.03

Residual

-14.0%

EPS growth-28.7%
Multiple rerating+48.7%
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-14.0%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.