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002689.SZ$3.30+4.76%
Fair $3.30+0.0%

002689.SZ

Shenyang Yuanda Intellectual Industry Group Co.,Ltd

Industrials / Specialty Industrial MachineryShenzhen

$3.30

+0.15 (+4.76%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $3.30Fund rank 30/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 44/C
F-Score: 8/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 20%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $100.8M · quality 55.3/100

Data gap 30/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 26/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

44/100

C

Piotroski

8/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 002689.SZLocal privado en este navegador · Shenyang Yuanda Intellectual Industry Group Co.,Ltd
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$3.4B

P/E

33.0x

↑

EV/EBITDA

20.9x

↑

ROE

7.9%

↑

Gross Margin

29.5%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.00

↓
52-Week Range$3
$3$5

TradingView lightweight chart

002689.SZ price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $3.300Periodo +40.0%
Fair value: $3.300

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+11.6%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

14.8%

FCF / Net income

2.02x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $1.38B · net income $100.7M · FCF $203.8M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

29.5%+9.4% pts

Operating margin

9.6%+18.4% pts

Net margin

7.3%+18.6% pts

FCF margin

14.8%+32.1% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$1.38B$1.38B$1.20B$1.34B$988.2M
Net Income$100.7M$100.7M$18.1M$31.0M$-111.4M
EBITDA$142.1M$142.1M$70.1M$83.5M$-39.1M
EPS0.100.100.020.03-0.11
Gross Margin29.5%29.5%24.2%22.2%20.1%
Operating Margin9.6%9.6%1.6%2.2%-8.9%
Net Margin7.3%7.3%1.5%2.3%-11.3%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.000.000.000.01—
Current Ratio2.382.38———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$203.8M$203.8M$-113.7M$100.8M$-171.0M
Returns
ROE7.9%7.9%1.5%2.7%-9.8%
Valuation
P/E33.0033.00185.06146.80—
EV/EBITDA20.8920.8943.3250.49—
P/B2.692.692.843.914.45
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth14.3%14.3%-10.0%35.2%—
EPS Growth454.6%454.6%-41.4%127.8%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

44.8%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.29

Spread vs growth

409.8%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

29.7%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.35

Spread vs growth

424.9%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

19.4%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.57

Spread vs growth

435.1%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -18.1%

Total return

-18.1%

Start / end P/E

231.6x → 34.2x

EPS bridge

0.02 → 0.10

Residual

-387.5%

EPS growth+454.6%
Multiple rerating-85.2%
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-387.5%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.