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002707.SZ$5.83+1.57%
Fair $5.83+0.0%

002707.SZ

UTour Group Co., Ltd.

Consumer Cyclical / Travel ServicesShenzhen

$5.83

+0.09 (+1.57%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $5.83Fund rank 32/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 39/D
F-Score: 5/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 32% · confianza 24%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $161.4M · quality 55.3/100

Data gap 32/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 35/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

39/100

D

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is 0.8%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 002707.SZLocal privado en este navegador · UTour Group Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$5.7B

P/E

832.9x

↑

EV/EBITDA

29.3x

↑

ROE

0.8%

↓

Gross Margin

12.0%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.11

↓
52-Week Range$6
$6$9

TradingView lightweight chart

002707.SZ price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $5.830Periodo +108.1%
Fair value: $5.830

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+137.9%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

2.4%

FCF / Net income

22.87x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $6.82B · net income $7.1M · FCF $161.4M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

12.0%-2.2% pts

Operating margin

1.7%+36.4% pts

Net margin

0.1%+43.8% pts

FCF margin

2.4%+45.5% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$6.82B$6.82B$6.46B$3.30B$507.0M
Net Income$7.1M$7.1M$105.9M$32.3M$-221.4M
EBITDA$177.7M$177.7M$233.6M$123.9M$-153.0M
EPS0.010.010.110.03-0.24
Gross Margin12.0%12.0%13.0%11.6%14.2%
Operating Margin1.7%1.7%2.5%0.1%-34.7%
Net Margin0.1%0.1%1.6%1.0%-43.7%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.110.110.270.610.82
Current Ratio1.011.01———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$161.4M$161.4M$304.7M$137.2M$-218.8M
Returns
ROE0.8%0.8%12.3%4.3%-30.7%
Valuation
P/E832.86832.8664.63221.52—
EV/EBITDA29.3029.3027.5656.19—
P/B6.596.597.969.5514.08
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth5.7%5.7%95.7%550.6%—
EPS Growth-93.5%-93.5%227.3%113.5%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

319.6%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.52

Spread vs growth

-413.2%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

145.6%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.63

Spread vs growth

-239.2%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

64.4%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.01

Spread vs growth

-157.9%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -24.0%

Total return

-24.0%

Start / end P/E

71.0x → 832.9x

EPS bridge

0.11 → 0.01

Residual

-1003.2%

EPS growth-93.5%
Multiple rerating+1072.7%
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-1003.2%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.