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002729.SZ$18.91-3.37%
Fair $18.91+0.0%

002729.SZ

Hollyland (China) Electronics Technology Corporation Limited

Technology / Electronic ComponentsShenzhen

$18.91

-0.66 (-3.37%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $18.91Fund rank 25/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 59/C
F-Score: 8/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 18%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-12.5M · quality 43.7/100

Data gap 25/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 9/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

59/100

C

Piotroski

8/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 002729.SZLocal privado en este navegador · Hollyland (China) Electronics Technology Corporation Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$3.5B

P/E

86.0x

↑

EV/EBITDA

49.7x

↑

ROE

8.6%

↑

Gross Margin

35.3%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.03

↓
52-Week Range$19
$13$23

TradingView lightweight chart

002729.SZ price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $18.91Periodo +202.7%
Fair value: $18.91

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+18.9%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

10.6%

FCF / Net income

0.93x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $425.0M · net income $48.2M · FCF $45.1M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

35.3%-2.1% pts

Operating margin

13.4%+0.2% pts

Net margin

11.4%-0.7% pts

FCF margin

10.6%+17.2% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$425.0M$425.0M$376.3M$269.3M$253.0M
Net Income$48.2M$48.2M$36.7M$18.1M$30.4M
EBITDA$68.3M$68.3M$54.5M$33.1M$47.4M
EPS0.260.260.200.100.17
Gross Margin35.3%35.3%33.3%32.3%37.3%
Operating Margin13.4%13.4%11.3%6.2%13.2%
Net Margin11.4%11.4%9.8%6.7%12.0%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.030.030.030.050.10
Current Ratio4.074.07———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$45.1M$45.1M$-12.5M$-21.3M$-16.7M
Returns
ROE8.6%8.6%7.1%3.7%6.5%
Valuation
P/E85.9585.9558.70222.10148.29
EV/EBITDA49.7249.7238.23119.9894.49
P/B6.296.294.148.259.59
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth12.9%12.9%39.7%6.4%—
EPS Growth30.0%30.0%100.0%-41.2%—
Dividend Yield0.1%0.1%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

86.2%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$1.68

Spread vs growth

-56.2%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

50.8%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$2.03

Spread vs growth

-20.8%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

28.8%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$3.27

Spread vs growth

1.2%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +44.7%

Total return

+44.7%

Start / end P/E

65.4x → 72.7x

EPS bridge

0.20 → 0.26

Residual

+3.4%

EPS growth+30.0%
Multiple rerating+11.2%
Dividend+0.1%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+3.4%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.